Should I ship a PvP Diplomacy game?
PvP + Diplomacy
Only 10 developers shipped a PvP Diplomacy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sid Meier's Civilization VII, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×8.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $120k, ×83 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $6.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $94M, ×62779 the market median. Revenue is up 165% on the market; 44 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $6.0k (exactly $5,992) |
|---|---|
| Median | $124k (exactly $123,737) |
| Top 25% | $779k (exactly $779,220) |
| Top 5% | $94M (exactly $94,043,463) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 59 |
| Announced | 44 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 165% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Diplomacy
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 54% positive over 53,260 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $6.0k. 4 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
Sid Meier's Civilization VII 2025 · $94M 
Dune: Spice Wars 2023 · $12M 
Millennia 2024 · $3.6M 
Star Trek: Infinite 2023 · $2.7M 
The Battle of Polytopia 2020 · $2.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sid Meier's Civilization VII | $69.99 | 44,789 48% | 1.3M | $94M (exactly $94,043,463) | Firaxis Games | |
| | Dune: Spice Wars | older | $34.99 | 11,561 79% | 347k | $12M (exactly $12,135,582) | Shiro Games |
| | Millennia | older | $39.99 | 2,976 67% | 89k | $3.6M (exactly $3,570,307) | C Prompt Games |
| | Star Trek: Infinite | older | $29.99 | 3,030 41% | 91k | $2.7M (exactly $2,726,091) | Nimble Giant Entertainment |
| | The Battle of Polytopia | older | $14.99 | 4,731 94% | 142k | $2.1M (exactly $2,127,531) | Midjiwan AB |
 | DEFCON | older | $11.99 | 3,460 86% | 104k | $1.2M (exactly $1,244,562) | Introversion Software |
 | Dummynation | older | $11.99 | 3,127 88% | 94k | $1.1M (exactly $1,124,782) | Alejandro Hernández Ferrero |
 | A Game of Thrones: The Board Game - Digital Edition | older | $19.99 | 1,705 71% | 51k | $1.0M (exactly $1,022,488) | Dire Wolf |
 | Medieval Kingdom Wars | older | $14.99 | 2,233 76% | 67k | $1.0M (exactly $1,004,180) | Reverie World Studios |
 | Guilty as Sock! | $5.50 | 4,836 89% | 145k | $798k (exactly $797,940) | Demon Max | |
 | Age of History 2: Definitive Edition | $9.99 | 2,600 83% | 78k | $779k (exactly $779,220) | Łukasz Jakowski | |
 | Rise of Piracy | · EA | $15.99 | 520 77% | 16k | $249k (exactly $249,444) | IrishJohnGames |
 | States of Power | $11.99 | 344 88% | 10k | $124k (exactly $123,737) | Sarunas | |
 | Renaissance Kingdom Wars | $19.99 | 141 70% | 4.2k | $85k (exactly $84,558) | Reverie World Studios | |
 | Nuice Industries | · EA | $7.99 | 25 96% | 750 | $6.0k (exactly $5,992) | CastleWind |
 | Fleetfall - Galaxy Domination | $5.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $539 (exactly $539) | Purple Owl | |
 | RUPTURR | · EA | $5.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | Aikon Interactive |
 | PingWin | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | GameBit Hubert Klich |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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