Should I ship a Dinosaur PvP game?
PvP + Dinosaurs
Only 13 developers shipped a Dinosaur PvP game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Spirit Animal Survival, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $9.0k, ×6.0 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $57k, ×38 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 33 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $9.0k (exactly $8,994) |
| Top 25% | $30k (exactly $29,723) |
| Top 5% | $58k (exactly $57,571) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 49 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 74% positive over 479 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
ARK: Survival Ascended 2023 · EA · $144M 
PixARK 2019 · $6.7M 
Beasts of Bermuda 2018 · EA · $5.1M 
Exoprimal 2023 · $4.6M 
Age of Wonders: Planetfall 2019 · $4.3M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ARK: Survival Ascended | · EA older | $44.99 | 106,761 60% | 3.2M | $144M (exactly $144,095,322) | Studio Wildcard, Grove Street Games, In… (Studio Wildcard, Grove Street Games, Instinct Games) |
| | PixARK | older | $19.99 | 11,142 73% | 334k | $6.7M (exactly $6,681,857) | Snail Games USA |
| | Beasts of Bermuda | · EA older | $19.99 | 8,430 69% | 253k | $5.1M (exactly $5,055,471) | Sastrei Studios, LLC |
| | Exoprimal | older | $59.99 | 2,581 76% | 77k | $4.6M (exactly $4,645,026) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. |
| | Age of Wonders: Planetfall | older | $29.99 | 4,758 80% | 143k | $4.3M (exactly $4,280,773) | Triumph Studios |
 | Primal Carnage: Extinction | older | $12.99 | 8,283 84% | 248k | $3.2M (exactly $3,227,885) | Circle Five Studios, Pub Games |
 | Dino D-Day | older | $9.99 | 8,039 86% | 241k | $2.4M (exactly $2,409,288) | 800 North and Digital Ranch |
 | Primal Carnage | older | $4.99 | 4,776 77% | 143k | $715k (exactly $714,967) | Lukewarm Media |
 | ORION: Prelude | older | $0.99 | 19,038 77% | 571k | $565k (exactly $565,429) | DANKIE |
 | Evolution Board Game | older | $14.99 | 348 81% | 10k | $156k (exactly $156,496) | North Star Digital Studios |
 | Spirit Animal Survival | $19.99 | 96 62% | 2.9k | $58k (exactly $57,571) | TRUEFX GAMES | |
 | DragonRoad | $19.98 | 82 91% | 2.5k | $49k (exactly $49,151) | XuJie | |
 | Primeval | $14.99 | 75 60% | 2.3k | $34k (exactly $33,728) | Exhibyte | |
 | Mesorift Survival | · EA | $7.99 | 124 67% | 3.7k | $30k (exactly $29,723) | Meik.W Interactive |
 | Cardburners | $9.99 | 58 98% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $17,383) | GrosChevaux | |
 | King of Tokyo - Richard Garfield | $19.99 | 16 68% | 480 | $9.6k (exactly $9,595) | Breakfirst | |
 | Skyfear | · EA | $14.99 | 20 95% | 600 | $9.0k (exactly $8,994) | Protoria Studios |
 | Mutant Rage | · EA | $19.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Animas Games |
 | Dino-Might | · EA | $4.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Absolutely Not Games |
 | Waving Around | $7.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | Deive_Ex |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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