Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Desktop Companion

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Desktop Companion Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Desktop Companion

Of 36 developers who shipped a Desktop Companion Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.3k, ×6.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $480k, ×1020 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 38 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 38 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Desktop Companion
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $485k → $48k → $3.2k (still earning) → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Desktop Companion: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Median $3.3k (exactly $3,293)
Top 25% $46k (exactly $46,344)
Top 5% $485k (exactly $484,546)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 45
Announced 38
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 315% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Desktop Companion
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Desktop Companion; all of the top 25% also carry Idler, Management, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cute, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 16,542 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.1k, median $3.3k, 1 in 4 over $46k, 1 in 20 over $480k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 3 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rusty's Retirement older $6.99 13,902 96% 417k $2.9M (exactly $2,915,249) Mister Morris Games
Tiny Pasture $5.99 7,055 92% 212k $1.3M (exactly $1,267,784) CaveLiquid
Ropuka's Idle Island $3.99 4,048 95% 121k $485k (exactly $484,546) Moczan, Little Chmura, Begoña Pereda
Your Big, Cute Monster Farm $7.99 1,097 78% 33k $263k (exactly $262,951) KaiPlay Studio
How to Train Your Cock $3.99 1,875 95% 56k $224k (exactly $224,438) Little Horror Studios
My Little Life $5.99 1,043 89% 31k $187k (exactly $187,427) 9FingerGames
Plantera 2: Golden Acorn older $4.99 1,191 93% 36k $178k (exactly $178,293) VaragtP
NejicomiSimulator TMA02 older $22.99 114 76% 3.4k $79k (exactly $78,626) やぶから堂, たまぷろじぇくと
Whimside $5.85 394 92% 12k $69k (exactly $69,147) Toadzillart
Village Tale $5.99 268 81% 8.0k $48k (exactly $48,160) Knight Owl Games
Focus Grove $8.99 172 98% 5.2k $46k (exactly $46,388) Little Lantern
Fluffy Kitchen Saga $6.99 221 64% 6.6k $46k (exactly $46,344) MEOW STORE GAME
The Dream Globe $2.99 369 94% 11k $33k (exactly $33,099) Roaming of Little Hammer

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.