Do I ship it?

GamesTactical RPGTactical RPG + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Tactical RPG?

Tactical RPG + Demons

Of 20 developers who shipped a Demon Tactical RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×5.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $810; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×464 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 36 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 36 announced, ×5.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical RPG + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $3.6k → $1.5k → $3.2k → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical RPG + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $809 (exactly $809)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,343)
Top 5% $292k (exactly $291,551)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 62
Announced 36
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tactical RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, JRPG, Party-Based RPG
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 659 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $810, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $810. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  3. + Space SimFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair21 devs · median $839 · 26 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  6. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  7. + Colony SimPoor odds16 devs · median $41k · 29 announced
  8. + SandboxPoor odds42 devs · median $20k · 102 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds61 devs · median $18k · 81 announced
  10. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $17k · 27 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds23 devs · median $10k · 38 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds80 devs · median $8.7k · 143 announced

All 145 pairs on the Tactical RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Total War: WARHAMMER older $59.99 32,105 79% 963k $58M (exactly $57,779,368) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (L… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Linux), Feral Interactive (Mac))
Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters older $44.99 11,426 76% 343k $15M (exactly $15,421,672) Complex Games
Kingdom Rush Vengeance - Tower Defense older $19.99 9,906 93% 297k $5.9M (exactly $5,940,628) Ironhide Game Studio
Disgaea PC older $19.99 4,296 87% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,576,311) Nippon Ichi Software, Inc.
Hard West 2 older $29.99 2,717 80% 82k $2.4M (exactly $2,444,485) Ice Code Games
VenusBlood HOLLOW International older $44.99 287 96% 8.6k $387k (exactly $387,364) Ninetail, Dualtail
FAIRY TAIL 2 $59.99 162 61% 4.9k $292k (exactly $291,551) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Age of Fear 2: The Chaos Lord GOLD older $24.99 273 80% 8.2k $205k (exactly $204,668) Leslaw Sliwko
Suzukuri Dungeon: Karin in the Mountain older $24.99 138 73% 4.1k $103k (exactly $103,459) Karin Project
Siege of Dungeon older $12.99 257 82% 7.7k $100k (exactly $100,153) Binary Tree Studio
LABYRINTHOS: The Depths Want You $24.99 57 84% 1.7k $43k (exactly $42,733) Astronauts
Heroine Conquest $3.99 230 71% 6.9k $28k (exactly $27,531) BadColor
SkullX: Aibohphobia $9.99 76 90% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) SkullX, DSTRCT Creatives
Yokai Busters $14.99 23 82% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Mikan Batake
Depths of Faveg $4.99 24 79% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) guipadgon
鬼灵的冒险GUILING's Adventure $1.99 54 94% 1.6k $3.2k (exactly $3,224) 硅晶石工作室Sicrystal Studio
Dreadstone Keep $7.99 9 100% 270 $2.2k (exactly $2,157) Crit42 Studio
Dark Times $3.99 17 94% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) Gromov Studio
Espirito Delusion $6.99 7 100% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Aura, Flafo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.