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Should I ship a Demon Physics game?
Physics + Demons
Of 44 developers who shipped a Demon Physics game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×557 the market median. Revenue is up 65% on the market; 57 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $6.7k (exactly $6,703) |
| Top 5% | $350k (exactly $349,750) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 44 |
| Released games | 87 |
| Announced | 57 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 65% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,804 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Baby In Yellow | · EA older | $8.99 | 2,340 96% | 70k | $631k (exactly $631,098) | Team Terrible |
| | Trench Tales | · EA | $24.99 | 601 69% | 18k | $451k (exactly $450,570) | Talking Drums |
| | Priest Simulator: Vampire Show | $19.99 | 735 94% | 22k | $441k (exactly $440,779) | Asmodev | |
| | Twin Shot Deluxe | $9.99 | 1,167 95% | 35k | $350k (exactly $349,750) | Nitrome Limited | |
| | Obsideo | · EA older | $11.99 | 797 61% | 24k | $287k (exactly $286,681) | Kyle's Garage |
| | FUTA RUNNER: Big Dick Edition | $6.99 | 733 66% | 22k | $154k (exactly $153,710) | Evil Boobs Cult | |
| | Nevrosa: Escape | older | $14.99 | 103 79% | 3.1k | $46k (exactly $46,319) | GexagonVR |
| | Lost Luminosity | $3.99 | 235 83% | 7.1k | $28k (exactly $28,130) | Ember Wing Games | |
| | SOMNI | · EA older | $14.99 | 58 60% | 1.7k | $26k (exactly $26,083) | Antler |
| | GON: God Of Nothing | $7.99 | 63 80% | 1.9k | $15k (exactly $15,101) | BlackBoneGames | |
| | GhostCatcher | · EA | $8.99 | 45 51% | 1.4k | $12k (exactly $12,136) | SilverLuna Rift |
| | Left By Angels | $2.99 | 124 84% | 3.7k | $11k (exactly $11,123) | Street Art Studios | |
| | Slime Soup | $4.99 | 50 90% | 1.5k | $7.5k (exactly $7,485) | VANDERMAESEN GAMES | |
| | Malignant Survivors 2 | $4.70 | 51 49% | 1.5k | $7.2k (exactly $7,191) | Eren Aydin, Serhat Yücekaya |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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