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Should I ship a Demon Mystery Dungeon?
Mystery Dungeon + Demons
Of 49 developers who shipped a Demon Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $11k, ×24 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 48 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $3.6k (exactly $3,588) |
| Top 5% | $12k (exactly $11,540) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 49 |
| Released games | 138 |
| Announced | 48 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Demons
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Mystery Dungeon; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 502 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. Nearly all of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Mystery Dungeon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + TacticalStrong odds
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + PhysicsFair
Comparable games
The Classrooms 2022 · EA · $1.2M 
In Verbis Virtus 2015 · $878k 
Hellboy Web of Wyrd 2023 · $511k 
Sex with Succubus ❤️🔥 2023 · $53k 
Happy Souls 2024 · $44k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Classrooms | · EA older | $12.99 | 3,040 89% | 91k | $1.2M (exactly $1,184,688) | Xefier Games, Hillcrest Games Inc. |
| | In Verbis Virtus | older | $19.99 | 1,464 78% | 44k | $878k (exactly $877,961) | Indomitus Games |
| | Hellboy Web of Wyrd | older | $24.99 | 681 71% | 20k | $511k (exactly $510,546) | Upstream Arcade |
| | Sex with Succubus ❤️🔥 | older | $9.99 | 176 50% | 5.3k | $53k (exactly $52,747) | Octo Games |
| | Happy Souls | older | $39.99 | 37 75% | 1.1k | $44k (exactly $44,389) | Galactic Geckon |
 | The Fortress | $6.99 | 151 68% | 4.5k | $32k (exactly $31,665) | Baryonyx Games | |
 | Monster Girls and the Mysterious Adventure Remastered Edition | $9.99 | 103 94% | 3.1k | $31k (exactly $30,869) | NEKOTOKAGE GAMES | |
 | Rescue Operation | older | $3.99 | 253 87% | 7.6k | $30k (exactly $30,284) | Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich |
 | Dungeon Vixens: A Tale of Temptation | older | $5.99 | 166 80% | 5.0k | $30k (exactly $29,830) | NightlineArcade |
 | Haunted Investigation | older | $3.99 | 206 83% | 6.2k | $25k (exactly $24,658) | Interactive Wave Studios |
 | Castle of Vania | $10.99 | 35 48% | 1.1k | $12k (exactly $11,540) | Succubus Factory | |
 | Holy Shot | $5.99 | 53 84% | 1.6k | $9.5k (exactly $9,524) | LoneWolf Digital Arts | |
 | Mizuki: Demon-Slaying Housewife | $14.99 | 19 42% | 570 | $8.5k (exactly $8,544) | tarobaumu | |
 | Nightfall Empress | $14.99 | 19 84% | 570 | $8.5k (exactly $8,544) | SEEP | |
 | Slendrina Remake | $3.99 | 65 63% | 2.0k | $7.8k (exactly $7,780) | GearMech | |
 | Defense&Making | · EA | $13.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $5.5k (exactly $5,456) | 3DAYS |
 | Cursed Halls | $6.99 | 26 92% | 780 | $5.5k (exactly $5,452) | Souls Alive Development | |
 | La Llorona Wants Your Soul | $9.99 | 18 50% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | Focka Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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