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Should I ship a Dating Sim Deckbuilding?
Deckbuilding + Dating Sim
Only 13 developers shipped a Dating Sim Deckbuilding in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Matchmaking Inc., made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×6.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $30k, ×63 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $11k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.5M, ×3278 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 31 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $10k (exactly $10,221) |
|---|---|
| Median | $30k (exactly $30,130) |
| Top 25% | $108k (exactly $107,557) |
| Top 5% | $1.6M (exactly $1,556,978) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 36 |
| Announced | 31 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Deckbuilding
- effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Deckbuilding, Dating Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Card Battler, Card Game
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 10,788 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $11k. 5 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Deckbuilding with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + AutomationFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + 2D FighterFair
- + Party GameFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + LogicFair
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
- + Visual NovelPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Potionomics | older | $24.99 | 6,973 90% | 209k | $5.2M (exactly $5,227,658) | Voracious Games |
| | I Was a Teenage Exocolonist | older | $24.99 | 4,443 96% | 133k | $3.3M (exactly $3,330,917) | Northway Games |
| | Moonstone Island | older | $19.99 | 4,063 84% | 122k | $2.4M (exactly $2,436,581) | Studio Supersoft |
| | Matchmaking Inc. | $8.99 | 5,773 87% | 173k | $1.6M (exactly $1,556,978) | Wave Games | |
| | Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening | · EA | $17.99 | 2,458 85% | 74k | $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) | U-Secret Studio |
| | Office Life | $19.99 | 1,725 88% | 52k | $1.0M (exactly $1,034,482) | LeiYun Games | |
| | SpunkStock: Music Festival | older | $14.99 | 406 95% | 12k | $183k (exactly $182,578) | RegulusNSFW |
| | FUTA FUCKS FEMBOYS | $12.99 | 276 88% | 8.3k | $108k (exactly $107,557) | Horny Capybara Studio | |
| | Monster Monpiece | older | $9.99 | 284 70% | 8.5k | $85k (exactly $85,115) | COMPILE HEART, IDEA FACTORY |
| | Helmetman | · EA older | $19.99 | 136 79% | 4.1k | $82k (exactly $81,559) | GoniNmimi Games |
| | Fuckstone | $11.99 | 217 88% | 6.5k | $78k (exactly $78,055) | Anime Mania | |
| | Isekai Big Dick | $10.99 | 122 87% | 3.7k | $40k (exactly $40,223) | Hippo Games | |
| | Morningstar: Book of the Fallen | $14.99 | 67 94% | 2.0k | $30k (exactly $30,130) | Droid Productions | |
| | Hypnosis Card 2 | $12.99 | 65 78% | 2.0k | $25k (exactly $25,330) | Naku Kinoko | |
| | Football Rising:Zero to Hero | $14.99 | 54 90% | 1.6k | $24k (exactly $24,284) | Den Spade | |
| | Forbidden Scrolls : Midnight Whispers | $10.99 | 31 80% | 930 | $10k (exactly $10,221) | Ero Echo Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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