Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Deckbuilding

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Deckbuilding 2D Fighter?

2D Fighter + Deckbuilding

Only 17 developers shipped a Deckbuilding 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rune Coliseum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 12 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 95% on the market, 12 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Deckbuilding
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $3.1k (still earning) → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Deckbuilding: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $959 (exactly $959)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,726)
Top 5% $505k (exactly $504,754)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 31
Announced 12
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter, Deckbuilding; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelite, Action, Card Battler
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 1,540 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $960, 1 in 4 over $2.7k, 1 in 20 over $500k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  5. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  6. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  7. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  9. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  10. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced
  12. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 28 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ROUNDS older $5.99 35,738 95% 1.1M $6.4M (exactly $6,422,119) Landfall
Rune Coliseum · EA $18.99 886 79% 27k $505k (exactly $504,754) Rafale Software
Backpack Jianghu $13.99 565 80% 17k $237k (exactly $237,130) 背包工作室
Duelists of Eden older $4.99 856 95% 26k $128k (exactly $128,143) Thomas Moon Kang
EndCycle VS older $4.99 81 88% 2.4k $12k (exactly $12,126) 12B3
Wink Out · EA $7.99 31 100% 930 $7.4k (exactly $7,431) Clevergence Games
Deck of Treads $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) DuckByte Games
Dungeon & Poker $6.99 13 92% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Vansonstudio
Gnomer $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Team Ruby
Reborn Arena $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) GameLabel Studio
Sheva $6.99 5 60% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Goldtusks
Robots with Guns $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Flash of Stars
FULL BET - FIGHTING CASINO - $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) FlatMountain

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.