Do I ship it?

GamesDeckbuildingDeckbuilding + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Deckbuilding?

Deckbuilding + Logic

Of 84 developers who shipped a Logic Deckbuilding in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 118 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $420, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 118 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 118 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Deckbuilding + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 84
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $1.2k → $2.2k → $9.6k → $809 → $419 → $269 (still earning) → $598 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Deckbuilding + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 84
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $419 (exactly $419)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $3,957)
Top 5% $34k (exactly $33,566)
Developers, 2 yr 84
Released games 144
Announced 118
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Deckbuilding, Logic; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,995 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $420, 1 in 4 over $3.9k, 1 in 20 over $33k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 118 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Deckbuilding with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair44 devs · median $2.8k · 51 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair98 devs · median $2.5k · 137 announced
  3. + ArcadeFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Party GameFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  6. + SwordplayFair11 devs · median $599 · 13 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair34 devs · median $598 · 36 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair53 devs · median $537 · 79 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds19 devs · median $72k · 56 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $30k · 31 announced
  11. + Visual NovelPoor odds36 devs · median $26k · 64 announced
  12. + RomancePoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 40 announced

All 141 pairs on the Deckbuilding page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cobalt Core older $19.99 4,067 95% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,438,980) Rocket Rat Games
TerraScape older $14.99 2,068 88% 62k $930k (exactly $929,980) Bitfall Studios
GWENT: Rogue Mage (Single-Player Expansion) older $9.99 1,266 54% 38k $379k (exactly $379,420) CD PROJEKT RED
Quantum Protocol older $12.99 625 90% 19k $244k (exactly $243,562) Kaio Meris
Passant: A Chess Roguelike $11.99 363 79% 11k $131k (exactly $130,571) Marc Makes Games
Wordatro! $9.99 401 85% 12k $120k (exactly $120,180) Le Poulet
Technotopia $4.99 599 86% 18k $90k (exactly $89,670) Yustas
Broken Universe - Tower Defense older $9.99 289 90% 8.7k $87k (exactly $86,613) Jinthree Studio
Infinity Sweeper $9.99 256 59% 7.7k $77k (exactly $76,723) Longshot Studio
Calculate It · EA older $6.99 264 87% 7.9k $55k (exactly $55,361) SVGames
Dice Tavern: Farkle Roguelike $9.99 112 90% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Cavi Studio
Islantiles $14.99 61 90% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Thunderrock Innovations
Birdigo - bird word game $9.99 78 84% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,377) John August, Corey Martin
Dimwood $14.99 47 100% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Inkspun LLC
Yes, My Queen $12.99 50 82% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,485) Wall Spaghetti
Ctrl Alt Deal $19.99 28 85% 840 $17k (exactly $16,792) Only By Midnight Ltd.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.