Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Deckbuilding

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Deckbuilding Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Deckbuilding

Only 16 developers shipped a Deckbuilding Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mamon King, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×7.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×495 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 21 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 21 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Deckbuilding
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2M → $22k → $27k (still earning) → $298 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Deckbuilding: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,565)
Top 25% $27k (exactly $26,973)
Top 5% $235k (exactly $234,989)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 26
Announced 21
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Deckbuilding; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Roguelike
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,770 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Moonstone Island older $19.99 4,063 84% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,436,581) Studio Supersoft
Ooblets older $29.99 1,388 91% 42k $1.2M (exactly $1,248,784) Glumberland
Cat God Ranch older $9.99 1,831 92% 55k $549k (exactly $548,751) CrazyPotato Studio
Mamon King $12.99 603 90% 18k $235k (exactly $234,989) LiTMUS Co., Ltd.
Cropdeck $12.99 430 92% 13k $168k (exactly $167,571) Piotrek
Another Farm Roguelike: Rebirth $6.99 433 69% 13k $91k (exactly $90,800) Zabbo Games
Koi Farm older $2.99 907 94% 27k $81k (exactly $81,358) Job Talle, 3xBlast
Farm Keeper older $4.99 390 91% 12k $58k (exactly $58,383) Cuddle Code
Chosen Garden $9.99 90 93% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) Winter Cabin Games
Deck of Harvest · EA $11.99 73 67% 2.2k $26k (exactly $26,258) GameFarmer, Pone Games
The Last Craftsman $9.99 74 94% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,178) AuraTummyache
Wrangle Ranch $5.99 21 95% 630 $3.8k (exactly $3,774) BenBonk, XraiDev
Card Homestead $6.99 17 82% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) CoffeeNap Games
公考刷题模拟器-我要上岸 $3.99 18 61% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) DoubleGame
Tiana's Fishing Diary $4.99 11 72% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Hakimi Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.