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Should I ship a Deckbuilding Farming Sim?
Farming Sim + Deckbuilding
Only 16 developers shipped a Deckbuilding Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mamon King, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×7.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×495 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 21 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $298 (exactly $298) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.6k (exactly $3,565) |
| Top 25% | $27k (exactly $26,973) |
| Top 5% | $235k (exactly $234,989) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 21 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Farming Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Deckbuilding
- effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Farming Sim, Deckbuilding; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Roguelike
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Relaxing
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,770 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + DogsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + TacticalFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Visual NovelLong shot
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + HorsesPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Moonstone Island | older | $19.99 | 4,063 84% | 122k | $2.4M (exactly $2,436,581) | Studio Supersoft |
| | Ooblets | older | $29.99 | 1,388 91% | 42k | $1.2M (exactly $1,248,784) | Glumberland |
| | Cat God Ranch | older | $9.99 | 1,831 92% | 55k | $549k (exactly $548,751) | CrazyPotato Studio |
| | Mamon King | $12.99 | 603 90% | 18k | $235k (exactly $234,989) | LiTMUS Co., Ltd. | |
| | Cropdeck | $12.99 | 430 92% | 13k | $168k (exactly $167,571) | Piotrek | |
| | Another Farm Roguelike: Rebirth | $6.99 | 433 69% | 13k | $91k (exactly $90,800) | Zabbo Games | |
| | Koi Farm | older | $2.99 | 907 94% | 27k | $81k (exactly $81,358) | Job Talle, 3xBlast |
| | Farm Keeper | older | $4.99 | 390 91% | 12k | $58k (exactly $58,383) | Cuddle Code |
| | Chosen Garden | $9.99 | 90 93% | 2.7k | $27k (exactly $26,973) | Winter Cabin Games | |
| | Deck of Harvest | · EA | $11.99 | 73 67% | 2.2k | $26k (exactly $26,258) | GameFarmer, Pone Games |
| | The Last Craftsman | $9.99 | 74 94% | 2.2k | $22k (exactly $22,178) | AuraTummyache | |
| | Wrangle Ranch | $5.99 | 21 95% | 630 | $3.8k (exactly $3,774) | BenBonk, XraiDev | |
| | Card Homestead | $6.99 | 17 82% | 510 | $3.6k (exactly $3,565) | CoffeeNap Games | |
| | 公考刷题模拟器-我要上岸 | $3.99 | 18 61% | 540 | $2.2k (exactly $2,155) | DoubleGame | |
| | Tiana's Fishing Diary | $4.99 | 11 72% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Hakimi Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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