Games › Turn-Based › Turn-Based + Dating Sim
Should I ship a Dating Sim Turn-Based game?
Turn-Based + Dating Sim
Only 3 developers shipped a Dating Sim Turn-Based game in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 7 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $48k against a market of $630. 4 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $63k (exactly $63,173) |
|---|---|
| Median | $82k (exactly $81,559) |
| Top 25% | $112k (exactly $112,388) |
| Top 5% | $30M (exactly $29,691,814) |
| Developers, 4 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 4 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based, Dating Sim
- Price point
- $10.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 144,231 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $64k. 4 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerStrong odds
- + DragonsStrong odds
- + Hack and SlashStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + HorrorFair
- + CraftingFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + ChessFair
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
Comparable games
Persona 4 Golden 2020 · $43M 
Path Of Wuxia 2022 · $30M 
Fate Seeker 2018 · $7.5M 
The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel 2017 · $6.2M 
河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu ： The Books of Dragon) 2018 · $5.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Persona 4 Golden | older | $19.99 | 71,306 97% | 2.1M | $43M (exactly $42,762,208) | ATLUS |
| | Path Of Wuxia | older | $34.99 | 28,286 78% | 849k | $30M (exactly $29,691,814) | 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司 |
| | Fate Seeker | older | $21.09 | 11,930 90% | 358k | $7.5M (exactly $7,548,111) | JSL Entertainment |
| | The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel | older | $39.99 | 5,131 94% | 154k | $6.2M (exactly $6,155,661) | Nihon Falcom |
| | 河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu ： The Books of Dragon) | older | $17.99 | 9,616 81% | 288k | $5.2M (exactly $5,189,755) | 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司 |
 | The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel III | older | $59.99 | 2,770 92% | 83k | $5.0M (exactly $4,985,169) | Nihon Falcom, Engine Software BV, PH3 G… (Nihon Falcom, Engine Software BV, PH3 GmbH) |
 | The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel IV | older | $59.99 | 2,272 91% | 68k | $4.1M (exactly $4,088,918) | Nihon Falcom, Engine Software BV, PH3 G… (Nihon Falcom, Engine Software BV, PH3 GmbH) |
 | I Was a Teenage Exocolonist | older | $24.99 | 4,443 96% | 133k | $3.3M (exactly $3,330,917) | Northway Games |
 | 侠客风云传(Tale of Wuxia) | older | $16.99 | 6,501 76% | 195k | $3.3M (exactly $3,313,560) | Heluo Studio |
 | Divinity: Dragon Commander | older | $39.99 | 1,976 73% | 59k | $2.4M (exactly $2,370,607) | Larian Studios |
 | 吾皇万岁 | $4.99 | 422 68% | 13k | $63k (exactly $63,173) | AI GAME STUDIO | |
 | I'm Not Sex King | $10.99 | 147 76% | 4.4k | $48k (exactly $48,466) | Sex King | |
 | Marble Heartstrings | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 整个好活 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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