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Should I ship a Dating Sim Tactical RPG?
Tactical RPG + Dating Sim
Only 15 developers shipped a Dating Sim Tactical RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ledgerbound, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.4k, ×5.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $500k, ×805 the market median. Revenue is up 8295% on the market; 22 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $629 (exactly $629) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.4k (exactly $3,355) |
| Top 25% | $23k (exactly $23,486) |
| Top 5% | $506k (exactly $505,631) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 8295% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Tactical RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Tactical RPG, Dating Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Action-Adventure, Adventure
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,199 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $630. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Tactical RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + Space SimFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + RobotsPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
Comparable games
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal 2023 · $114M 
Legend of Mortal 2024 · $20M 
Agarest: Generations of War 2014 · $750k 
Ledgerbound 2026 · $506k 
Agarest: Generations of War Zero 2014 · $210k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal | older | $19.99 | 190,184 56% | 5.7M | $114M (exactly $114,053,345) | 鬼谷工作室 |
| | Legend of Mortal | older | $19.99 | 33,730 77% | 1.0M | $20M (exactly $20,227,881) | Obb Studio Inc. |
| | Agarest: Generations of War | older | $14.99 | 1,668 70% | 50k | $750k (exactly $750,100) | Idea Factory |
| | Ledgerbound | $29.99 | 562 92% | 17k | $506k (exactly $505,631) | OmniMegaSuperCorp | |
| | Agarest: Generations of War Zero | older | $19.99 | 350 72% | 11k | $210k (exactly $209,895) | Idea Factory |
 | Jerez's Arena Ⅱ | older | $24.99 | 275 80% | 8.3k | $206k (exactly $206,168) | 永恆艾莉絲工坊 |
 | Love n War: Warlord by Chance | older | $4.99 | 1,305 86% | 39k | $195k (exactly $195,358) | Reborn Entertainment |
 | Love of Magic | older | $14.99 | 417 88% | 13k | $188k (exactly $187,525) | Droid Productions |
 | Agarest: Generations of War 2 | older | $19.99 | 218 57% | 6.5k | $131k (exactly $130,735) | Idea Factory |
 | Beautiful Mystic Defenders | older | $6.99 | 570 82% | 17k | $120k (exactly $119,529) | Fantasize Games |
 | Erannorth Renaissance | $19.99 | 186 81% | 5.6k | $112k (exactly $111,544) | Spyridon Thalassinos | |
 | Horny Housewives 2 | $14.99 | 146 63% | 4.4k | $66k (exactly $65,656) | Entropy Digital Entertainment | |
 | Aquilon's Sex Quest | $6.99 | 112 70% | 3.4k | $23k (exactly $23,486) | Aquilon | |
 | Lustpunk 69 | $8.99 | 83 87% | 2.5k | $22k (exactly $22,385) | Kinky Business Group | |
 | Wings of Empire | · EA | $14.99 | 49 87% | 1.5k | $22k (exactly $22,035) | Droid Productions |
 | Ambitious Road | $17.99 | 26 88% | 780 | $14k (exactly $14,032) | 黒木道仁 | |
 | This Be Mutiny | $6.99 | 16 87% | 480 | $3.4k (exactly $3,355) | Goodberry Games | |
 | Beguile | $4.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) | coeda | |
 | Pop Star Life | $4.99 | 9 66% | 270 | $1.3k (exactly $1,347) | Rakun Interactive |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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