Games › Stealth › Stealth + Dating Sim
Should I ship a Dating Sim Stealth game?
Stealth + Dating Sim
Only 16 developers shipped a Dating Sim Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Wife Next Door, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $990k, ×1583 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 39 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $106k (exactly $106,129) |
| Top 5% | $994k (exactly $994,425) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 39 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Stealth
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Stealth, Dating Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Action-Adventure, Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 4,155 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGFair
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds
- + WargamePoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + Gun CustomizationPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + Cold WarPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
Comparable games
Persona 5 Royal 2022 · $165M 
White Day: A Labyrinth Named School 2017 · $3.4M 
Paper Dolls 2 纸人贰 2020 · $1.6M 
The Wife Next Door 2024 · $994k 
Goblin Vyke: The Thief Tycoon 2026 · $628k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Persona 5 Royal | older | $59.99 | 91,682 96% | 2.8M | $165M (exactly $165,000,095) | ATLUS |
| | White Day: A Labyrinth Named School | older | $29.99 | 3,807 81% | 114k | $3.4M (exactly $3,425,158) | SONNORI Corp |
| | Paper Dolls 2 纸人贰 | older | $19.99 | 2,636 82% | 79k | $1.6M (exactly $1,580,809) | Beijing Litchi Culture Media Co., Ltd. |
| | The Wife Next Door | $16.99 | 1,951 89% | 59k | $994k (exactly $994,425) | 雪山雞白郎, SnowGBL | |
| | Goblin Vyke: The Thief Tycoon | $14.99 | 1,397 70% | 42k | $628k (exactly $628,231) | Art Thieves | |
 | LoveKami -Divinity Stage- | older | $12.99 | 547 83% | 16k | $213k (exactly $213,166) | MoeNovel |
 | Love Love School Days | older | $5.99 | 1,067 95% | 32k | $192k (exactly $191,740) | OTL GAME |
 | The DeLuca Family - Season 1 | older | $15.99 | 301 75% | 9.0k | $144k (exactly $144,390) | MemoGaming |
 | Hachishaku | $9.99 | 456 85% | 14k | $137k (exactly $136,663) | Trash Panda Games | |
 | Frankie's FunClub | $14.99 | 236 65% | 7.1k | $106k (exactly $106,129) | LOVEBITES | |
 | Libertine: King of Hearts | $19.99 | 96 85% | 2.9k | $58k (exactly $57,571) | Hasnotalent Media | |
 | Deepest Massage | $9.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | Erogame Sensei | |
 | Transforming my fiancée | $9.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | FSK20006 | |
 | Horny Sister-in-Law's Midnight Demand | $9.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | FSK2000X | |
 | Duty Free Shop Simulator | · EA | $4.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | CLOWN MAGIC |
 | Escape From Vampire Castle: Miss Luna's Diary | $5.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | MYJIKA INC. |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.