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Should I ship a PvP Dating Sim?
PvP + Dating Sim
Only 8 developers shipped a paid PvP Dating Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SYNDUALITY Echo of Ada, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 15 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $450 against a market of $1.5k. 15 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $78k (exactly $78,055) |
| Top 5% | $4.0M (exactly $3,962,609) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 15 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 145% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 45%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- PvP
- effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Dating Sim
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 59% positive over 6,156 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 4 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
SYNDUALITY Echo of Ada 2025 · $4.0M 
Hand Simulator: Rendezvous 2022 · $148k 
The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn 2017 · $95k 
Doomsday Paradise 2023 · $83k 
Fuckstone 2025 · $78k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | SYNDUALITY Echo of Ada | $39.99 | 3,303 40% | 99k | $4.0M (exactly $3,962,609) | Game Studio Inc. | |
| | Hand Simulator: Rendezvous | older | $2.99 | 1,654 87% | 50k | $148k (exactly $148,364) | Alice Pie |
| | The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn | older | $19.99 | 158 77% | 4.7k | $95k (exactly $94,753) | Dragon Wing Studio |
| | Doomsday Paradise | older | $14.99 | 185 89% | 5.6k | $83k (exactly $83,194) | Lemonade Flashbang |
| | Fuckstone | $11.99 | 217 88% | 6.5k | $78k (exactly $78,055) | Anime Mania | |
 | Don't Cheat On Me | older | $7.99 | 253 46% | 7.6k | $61k (exactly $60,644) | A Normal Monkey Studios |
 | JUMANJI: The Video Game | older | $29.99 | 66 53% | 2.0k | $59k (exactly $59,380) | Funsolve LTD |
 | Smurfs Kart | older | $29.99 | 56 62% | 1.7k | $50k (exactly $50,383) | Eden Games |
 | 心动满屋 | older | $3.99 | 218 75% | 6.5k | $26k (exactly $26,095) | 成都萌创科技有限公司 |
 | Cricket Captain 2022 | older | $8.99 | 46 60% | 1.4k | $12k (exactly $12,406) | Childish Things Ltd |
 | Beguile | $4.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) | coeda | |
 | BL Werewolf:Doki-Doki Summer vacation | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | 物部モノ子, 星守れんげ | |
 | どきどきシャッターチャンス～恋のパズルを組み立てて♡～ | $10.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $330 (exactly $330) | Nippon Ichi Software, Inc., Systemsoft… (Nippon Ichi Software, Inc., Systemsoft beta, Inc.) | |
 | Zenith Drift | $2.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | Oguz Abdullah Celik | |
 | Trauma Football | $7.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | Nuskadamo | |
 | Accept or Reject | $3.69 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Tori Aru |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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