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Should I ship a Dating Sim Farming Sim?
Farming Sim + Dating Sim
Of 32 developers who shipped a Dating Sim Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 82 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $19k, ×40 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $5.3M, ×11166 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 82 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.3k (exactly $2,308) |
|---|---|
| Median | $19k (exactly $18,936) |
| Top 25% | $164k (exactly $163,691) |
| Top 5% | $5.3M (exactly $5,303,716) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 32 |
| Released games | 83 |
| Announced | 82 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Farming Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Farming Sim, Dating Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Crafting, Life Sim
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 44,973 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 3 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 82 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + DogsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + TacticalFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Visual NovelLong shot
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + HorsesPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Stardew Valley | older | $14.99 | 894,201 98% | 27M | $402M (exactly $402,122,190) | ConcernedApe |
| | My Time at Sandrock | older | $39.99 | 24,110 88% | 723k | $29M (exactly $28,924,767) | Pathea Games |
| | Coral Island | older | $29.99 | 21,828 89% | 655k | $20M (exactly $19,638,652) | Stairway Games |
| | Sun Haven | older | $24.99 | 22,069 79% | 662k | $17M (exactly $16,545,129) | Pixel Sprout Studios |
| | Fields of Mistria | $13.99 | 31,918 96% | 958k | $13M (exactly $13,395,985) | NPC Studio | |
| | STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town | older | $39.99 | 5,268 93% | 158k | $6.3M (exactly $6,320,020) | Marvelous Inc. |
| | Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma | $59.99 | 2,947 88% | 88k | $5.3M (exactly $5,303,716) | Marvelous Inc. | |
| | STORY OF SEASONS: Grand Bazaar | $49.99 | 3,140 93% | 94k | $4.7M (exactly $4,709,058) | Marvelous Inc. | |
| | Clanfolk | · EA older | $29.99 | 3,779 91% | 113k | $3.4M (exactly $3,399,966) | MinMax Games Ltd. |
| | Roots of Pacha | older | $24.99 | 3,779 93% | 113k | $2.8M (exactly $2,833,116) | Soda Den |
| | Tales of Seikyu | $24.99 | 2,179 83% | 65k | $1.6M (exactly $1,633,596) | ACE Entertainment | |
| | Return from Core | $16.99 | 1,620 75% | 49k | $826k (exactly $825,714) | 顽核社 FuncoreClub | |
| | To Pixelia | $14.99 | 1,194 73% | 36k | $537k (exactly $536,942) | Pixeduo Studios | |
| | One Lonely Outpost | $19.99 | 540 58% | 16k | $324k (exactly $323,838) | indie.io | |
| | 欺神弄鬼 | · EA | $9.99 | 802 91% | 24k | $240k (exactly $240,359) | 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle |
| | Orange Season | $14.99 | 364 59% | 11k | $164k (exactly $163,691) | Innerfire Studios | |
| | Syn-Chorus 01: The New Life | · EA | $10.99 | 269 83% | 8.1k | $89k (exactly $88,689) | PrisMaze棱镜迷阵 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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