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Should I ship a Dark-Fantasy Gun Customization game?
Gun Customization + Dark Fantasy
Of 22 developers who shipped a Dark-Fantasy Gun Customization game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $35k, ×57 the market median. Revenue is up 160% on the market; 44 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) |
| Top 25% | $9.1k (exactly $9,109) |
| Top 5% | $36k (exactly $35,664) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 22 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 44 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 160% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Dark Fantasy
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Gun Customization; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Perma Death, Roguelite, Action
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 779 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gun Customization with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 20 Minutes Till Dawn | older | $4.99 | 27,872 90% | 836k | $4.2M (exactly $4,172,438) | flanne |
| | Anima : The Reign of Darkness | older | $11.99 | 613 69% | 18k | $220k (exactly $220,496) | Redeev |
| | EVERSLAUGHT | · EA older | $19.99 | 336 61% | 10k | $201k (exactly $201,499) | MobX GmbH |
| | Voidborn | $12.99 | 349 81% | 10k | $136k (exactly $136,005) | Xekvera | |
| | Call of Sentinels | older | $7.99 | 177 74% | 5.3k | $42k (exactly $42,427) | A17 Games |
| | REMEDIUM | · EA older | $17.99 | 68 66% | 2.0k | $37k (exactly $36,700) | Sobaka Studio |
| | Runehaven | $9.99 | 119 91% | 3.6k | $36k (exactly $35,664) | Cikoria Studio | |
| | Ghosts Keep Out | $3.99 | 130 75% | 3.9k | $16k (exactly $15,561) | Only Fun Games | |
| | Ascendant | $9.99 | 47 70% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | Imagisphere | |
| | Type or Die | $13.99 | 29 31% | 870 | $12k (exactly $12,171) | Type or Die | |
| | Hell Survivors | · EA | $7.99 | 38 55% | 1.1k | $9.1k (exactly $9,109) | Aerilon |
| | ZIX | · EA | $9.99 | 28 78% | 840 | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) | Hidden IO |
| | ALARIC | $14.99 | 14 92% | 420 | $6.3k (exactly $6,296) | Dominik Grigoras | |
| | Cloudbreaker | $12.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) | Ballast Games | |
| | Torch of Shadows | $7.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $3.1k (exactly $3,116) | Acthera Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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