Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based › Turn-Based + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Turn-Based game?

Turn-Based + Cyberpunk

Of 21 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Turn-Based game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.7k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.6M, ×4192 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 16 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 16 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $841k → $69k → $6.7k → $1.9k (still earning) → $14k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $3.8k (exactly $3,778)
Median $6.7k (exactly $6,716)
Top 25% $103k (exactly $102,981)
Top 5% $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 65
Announced 16
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Turn-Based Combat, RPG, Strategy
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 13,211 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.8k, median $6.7k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $2.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.8k. 6 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Asynchronous MultiplayerStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + DragonsStrong odds7 devs · median $53k · 7 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashStrong odds8 devs · median $14k · 1 announced
  4. + SandboxFair20 devs · median $224k · 19 announced
  5. + HorrorFair16 devs · median $32k · 18 announced
  6. + CraftingFair16 devs · median $17k · 24 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair49 devs · median $10k · 57 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  10. + ChessFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  11. + Tower DefensePoor odds9 devs · median $294k · 7 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds16 devs · median $193k · 26 announced

All 110 pairs on the Turn-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Transistor 2014 · $17M Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition 2019 · $16M Quasimorph 2026 · $5.4M Colony Ship: A Post-Earth Role Playing Game 2023 · $4.9M Shadowrun Returns 2013 · $4.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Transistor older $19.99 27,993 93% 840k $17M (exactly $16,787,402) Supergiant Games
Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition older $49.99 10,810 89% 324k $16M (exactly $16,211,757) h.a.n.d., Inc., Media.Vision Inc.
Quasimorph $24.99 7,196 82% 216k $5.4M (exactly $5,394,841) Magnum Scriptum
Colony Ship: A Post-Earth Role Playing Game older $39.99 4,087 87% 123k $4.9M (exactly $4,903,174) Iron Tower Studio
Shadowrun Returns older $14.99 9,521 88% 286k $4.3M (exactly $4,281,594) Harebrained Schemes
Soul Hackers 2 older $59.99 2,300 65% 69k $4.1M (exactly $4,139,310) ATLUS
Invisible, Inc. older $19.99 5,096 91% 153k $3.1M (exactly $3,056,071) Klei Entertainment
UnderRail older $14.99 6,385 86% 192k $2.9M (exactly $2,871,334) Stygian Software
Cyber Knights: Flashpoint $29.99 2,926 93% 88k $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522) Trese Brothers
Shadowrun: Dragonfall - Director's Cut older $14.99 5,411 89% 162k $2.4M (exactly $2,433,327) Harebrained Schemes
ZEPHON $39.99 1,838 83% 55k $2.2M (exactly $2,205,049) Proxy Studios
Enter the Chronosphere · EA $14.99 420 94% 13k $189k (exactly $188,874) Effort Star
Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action $19.99 225 84% 6.8k $135k (exactly $134,932) Moonana
Twilight Wars $14.99 229 74% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Comrade Bear Games
HeistGeist $19.90 116 95% 3.5k $69k (exactly $69,252) Doublequote Studio
Tomomon $14.99 126 70% 3.8k $57k (exactly $56,662) ManicBuild Studio
Shift'n Slay $11.99 89 79% 2.7k $32k (exactly $32,013) DREBOT game studio
NET.CRAWL $9.99 46 95% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) Everyone is Solid

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.