Do I ship it?

GamesTactical RPGTactical RPG + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Tactical RPG?

Tactical RPG + Cyberpunk

Of 26 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Tactical RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×8.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×521 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 64 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 64 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical RPG + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $95k → $5.1k → $1.2k → $6.7k → $5.4k → $150 (still earning) → $14k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical RPG + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $480 (exactly $480)
Median $5.1k (exactly $5,095)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,786)
Top 5% $327k (exactly $326,958)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 82
Announced 64
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tactical RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Turn-Based Combat, Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 4,350 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $5.1k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  3. + Space SimFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair21 devs · median $839 · 26 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  6. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  7. + Colony SimPoor odds16 devs · median $41k · 29 announced
  8. + SandboxPoor odds42 devs · median $20k · 102 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds61 devs · median $18k · 81 announced
  10. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $17k · 27 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds23 devs · median $10k · 38 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds80 devs · median $8.7k · 143 announced

All 145 pairs on the Tactical RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Colony Ship: A Post-Earth Role Playing Game older $39.99 4,087 87% 123k $4.9M (exactly $4,903,174) Iron Tower Studio
Invisible, Inc. older $19.99 5,096 91% 153k $3.1M (exactly $3,056,071) Klei Entertainment
Cyber Knights: Flashpoint $29.99 2,926 93% 88k $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522) Trese Brothers
Punch Club 2: Fast Forward older $19.99 3,808 81% 114k $2.3M (exactly $2,283,658) Lazy Bear Games
Nowhere Prophet older $24.99 721 77% 22k $541k (exactly $540,534) Sharkbomb Studios
Wolfstride older $14.99 780 89% 23k $351k (exactly $350,766) OTA IMON Studios
Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum $12.99 839 98% 25k $327k (exactly $326,958) nodayshalleraseyou
Furry Killer older $29.99 241 78% 7.2k $217k (exactly $216,828) Sujikon
Memoirs of a Battle Brothel older $19.99 207 84% 6.2k $124k (exactly $124,138) A Memory of Eternity
Twilight Wars $14.99 229 74% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Comrade Bear Games
Vampire Syndicate: Gangs of MoonFall · EA $19.99 111 71% 3.3k $67k (exactly $66,567) A Memory of Eternity
Neon Blood $17.99 73 60% 2.2k $39k (exactly $39,398) ChaoticBrain Studios
Lustpunk 69 $8.99 83 87% 2.5k $22k (exactly $22,385) Kinky Business Group
NET.CRAWL $9.99 46 95% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) Everyone is Solid
Remnants of the Rift $14.99 15 86% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Bromio
Prometheus Wept · EA $15.99 14 92% 420 $6.7k (exactly $6,716) Timeslip Softworks
Fractured Core $14.99 14 78% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Engram Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.