Do I ship it?

Games › PvP › PvP + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk PvP game?

PvP + Cyberpunk

Of 61 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk PvP game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 187 more are announced, ×5.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 187 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.1 per shipper, while revenue is down 30% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 187 announced, ×5.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 61
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $390 → $2.4k → $1.8k → $1.3k → $1.4k → $900 (still earning) → $59 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 61
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $6.0k (exactly $5,994)
Top 5% $642k (exactly $641,743)
Developers, 2 yr 61
Released games 262
Announced 187
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 36%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvE, Arcade
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 50,332 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $900, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $640k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 46 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 187 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Marathon 2026 · $54M Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition 2019 · $16M DAEMON X MACHINA 2020 · $9.3M Raw Data 2017 · $2.4M ZEPHON 2024 · $2.2M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marathon $39.99 44,919 81% 1.3M $54M (exactly $53,889,324) Bungie
Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition older $49.99 10,810 89% 324k $16M (exactly $16,211,757) h.a.n.d., Inc., Media.Vision Inc.
DAEMON X MACHINA older $49.99 6,172 85% 185k $9.3M (exactly $9,256,148) Marvelous Inc.
Raw Data older $39.99 2,036 81% 61k $2.4M (exactly $2,442,589) Survios
ZEPHON $39.99 1,838 83% 55k $2.2M (exactly $2,205,049) Proxy Studios
Due Process · EA older $9.99 6,558 83% 197k $2.0M (exactly $1,965,433) Giant Enemy Crab
Screamer $59.99 1,039 80% 31k $1.9M (exactly $1,869,888) Milestone S.r.l.
Bleeding Edge older $29.99 1,411 66% 42k $1.3M (exactly $1,269,477) Ninja Theory
Grey Hack · EA older $19.99 1,801 90% 54k $1.1M (exactly $1,080,060) Loading Home
Combat Mission Black Sea older $59.99 422 81% 13k $759k (exactly $759,473) Battlefront
Card-en-Ciel $24.99 856 90% 26k $642k (exactly $641,743) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Out of Action · EA $19.99 916 77% 27k $549k (exactly $549,325) Doku Games LTD
XF Extreme Formula $11.99 366 90% 11k $132k (exactly $131,650) Feperd Games
Tower Tag $9.99 180 90% 5.4k $54k (exactly $53,946) Steinfatt GmbH
Explosive Odds $4.99 165 92% 5.0k $25k (exactly $24,700) Pig Bot Games
Cyber Clutch: Hot Import Nights $19.99 21 61% 630 $13k (exactly $12,594) Gunpowder Games, Focuspoint Studios
Assault On Proxima $9.99 32 81% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Delta Video Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.