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Should I ship a Cyberpunk Physics game?
Physics + Cyberpunk
Of 74 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Physics game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 143 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 43 developers shipped in the last year and 143 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $2.9k (exactly $2,878) |
| Top 5% | $48k (exactly $48,286) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 74 |
| Released games | 187 |
| Announced | 143 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Combat
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 1,724 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 143 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Arctic Eggs | older | $9.99 | 5,343 95% | 160k | $1.6M (exactly $1,601,297) | The Water Museum, cockydoody, abmarnie,… (The Water Museum, cockydoody, abmarnie, Cameron Ginex) |
| | SPRAWL zero | $24.99 | 710 94% | 21k | $532k (exactly $532,287) | MAETH | |
| | Zup! F | older | $1.99 | 7,749 96% | 232k | $463k (exactly $462,615) | Quiet River |
| | GIGA WRECKER | older | $19.99 | 728 76% | 22k | $437k (exactly $436,582) | GAME FREAK inc. |
| | Mech Mechanic Simulator | older | $19.99 | 538 61% | 16k | $323k (exactly $322,639) | Polyslash |
| | Crunch Element | · EA older | $19.99 | 502 57% | 15k | $301k (exactly $301,049) | Dreamlab XR |
| | Captain Hardcore | · EA | $39.99 | 198 80% | 5.9k | $238k (exactly $237,541) | AntiZero Games |
| | LONN | older | $29.99 | 201 64% | 6.0k | $181k (exactly $180,840) | SixSense Studios |
| | CrashMetal - Cyberpunk | older | $4.99 | 654 66% | 20k | $98k (exactly $97,904) | JDM4iK Games |
| | Zedfest | older | $14.99 | 191 89% | 5.7k | $86k (exactly $85,893) | Diagrammet AB |
| | Head's Adventures:chibichibi | $7.99 | 334 97% | 10k | $80k (exactly $80,060) | ManaWanderer | |
| | Elvenfoundry | $34.99 | 46 67% | 1.4k | $48k (exactly $48,286) | SunbathGames | |
| | CYBERMATRIX | $12.00 | 127 89% | 3.8k | $46k (exactly $45,720) | Tim Murich | |
| | CODE Bunny | $9.99 | 143 93% | 4.3k | $43k (exactly $42,857) | Team Seventh Star | |
| | Haneda Girl | $14.99 | 74 94% | 2.2k | $33k (exactly $33,278) | Studio Koba | |
| | Tales Of Glory 3 : Fists of Legend | $19.99 | 34 88% | 1.0k | $20k (exactly $20,390) | BlackTale Games | |
| | Cyberpunk Store Simulator | · EA | $8.99 | 31 90% | 930 | $8.4k (exactly $8,361) | ICON GAME STUDIO |
| | Project Hover | · EA | $9.99 | 27 88% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | Ulysses Graphics |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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