Do I ship it?

Games › Gun Customization › Gun Customization + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Gun Customization game?

Gun Customization + Cyberpunk

Of 20 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Gun Customization game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 70 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $53M, ×85811 the market median. Revenue is up 285% on the market; 70 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 285% on the market, 70 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.7k → $898 → $30 → $6.0k → $4.1k (still earning) → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,918)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $21,733)
Top 5% $54M (exactly $53,889,324)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 60
Announced 70
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 285% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Character Customization
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 46,736 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $53M.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 70 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Marathon 2026 · $54M Pistol Whip 2019 · $3.2M Out of Action 2026 · EA · $549k Roboquest VR 2025 · $355k Black Ice 2014 · EA · $309k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marathon $39.99 44,919 81% 1.3M $54M (exactly $53,889,324) Bungie
Pistol Whip older $29.99 3,586 94% 108k $3.2M (exactly $3,226,324) Cloudhead Games Ltd.
Out of Action · EA $19.99 916 77% 27k $549k (exactly $549,325) Doku Games LTD
Roboquest VR $29.99 395 87% 12k $355k (exactly $355,382) Flat2VR Studios, RyseUp Studios
Black Ice · EA older $19.99 515 95% 15k $309k (exactly $308,846) Nonadecimal Creative, Super Duper Garre… (Nonadecimal Creative, Super Duper Garrett Cooper)
LONN older $29.99 201 64% 6.0k $181k (exactly $180,840) SixSense Studios
CyberCorp $14.99 351 75% 11k $158k (exactly $157,845) Megame LLC
ArcRunner older $19.99 195 68% 5.9k $117k (exactly $116,941) Trickjump Games Ltd
Dreadhunter · EA older $24.99 141 77% 4.2k $106k (exactly $105,708) Trickster Arts
SlavicPunk: Oldtimer older $17.99 153 64% 4.6k $83k (exactly $82,574) Red Square Games
Gunstoppable $12.49 58 81% 1.7k $22k (exactly $21,733) CAGE Studios
PROTON VR · EA $17.99 18 88% 540 $9.7k (exactly $9,715) Sam Martins
Gunswitch · EA $7.99 25 64% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Wicked Tavern
Vehicle No. 4 $6.99 23 86% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) indiejoh
RolemIAster · EA $5.99 23 56% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) ABAFE
Gun Paradise $7.99 8 87% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) RouShanGame

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.