Should I ship a PvP CRPG?
PvP + CRPG
Only 13 developers shipped a paid PvP CRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, DOKAPON! Sword of Fury, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 44 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×177 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 44 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $3.1k (exactly $3,050) |
| Top 5% | $265k (exactly $265,394) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 100 |
| Announced | 44 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 62%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, CRPG
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 446 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017 · $244M 
Sword and Fairy Inn 2 2022 · $1.2M 
Swords and Sandals Immortals 2023 · $380k 
DOKAPON! Sword of Fury 2025 · $265k 
Hand Simulator: Rendezvous 2022 · $148k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition | older | $44.99 | 180,782 95% | 5.4M | $244M (exactly $244,001,465) | Larian Studios |
| | Sword and Fairy Inn 2 | older | $19.99 | 2,013 49% | 60k | $1.2M (exactly $1,207,196) | SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT |
| | Swords and Sandals Immortals | older | $11.99 | 1,056 84% | 32k | $380k (exactly $379,843) | Whiskeybarrel Studios |
| | DOKAPON! Sword of Fury | $24.99 | 354 85% | 11k | $265k (exactly $265,394) | Sting | |
| | Hand Simulator: Rendezvous | older | $2.99 | 1,654 87% | 50k | $148k (exactly $148,364) | Alice Pie |
 | 心动满屋 | older | $3.99 | 218 75% | 6.5k | $26k (exactly $26,095) | 成都萌创科技有限公司 |
 | 正宗台湾十六张麻将3 | older | $6.99 | 47 63% | 1.4k | $9.9k (exactly $9,856) | SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT |
 | Gravebind | · EA | $14.99 | 15 93% | 450 | $6.7k (exactly $6,746) | Seamless Network Systems, LLC |
 | CHAOS - In the Darkness | older | $7.99 | 28 28% | 840 | $6.7k (exactly $6,712) | 4Realms |
 | Lunaela | older | $9.99 | 16 81% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | Doky |
 | Azmar Quest - Text Based RPG | $9.99 | 15 100% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | Sevan Soukiassian | |
 | Mush Dash | · EA | $2.99 | 34 82% | 1.0k | $3.1k (exactly $3,050) | 笨笨Bon, CrazyDog, 邻居家的猫 |
 | Kalnazar | $9.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | RobotsGames | |
 | DOKAPON 3-2-1: Super Collection! | $19.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | Sting | |
 | Cromania | · EA | $6.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) | Momoiu Cerasela Nicoleta |
 | Archipelago: Island Survival | $9.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | FrostFire | |
 | Doomsday Draft | $6.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $629 (exactly $629) | Palm and Stars | |
 | Magia y Demonios | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | anyeos |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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