Should I ship a Crime PvP game?
PvP + Crime
Of 21 developers who shipped a Crime PvP game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×1.3 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $23k, ×16 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 65 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.9k (exactly $1,887) |
| Top 25% | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) |
| Top 5% | $24k (exactly $23,734) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 72 |
| Announced | 65 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 325% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Automobile Sim, Co-op
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Comedy, 2D, Funny
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 211,013 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Grand Theft Auto V Enhanced | $29.99 | 210,784 83% | 6.3M | $190M (exactly $189,642,365) | Rockstar North | |
| | Battlefield™ Hardline | older | $39.99 | 4,000 68% | 120k | $4.8M (exactly $4,798,800) | DICE |
| | Due Process | · EA older | $9.99 | 6,558 83% | 197k | $2.0M (exactly $1,965,433) | Giant Enemy Crab |
| | Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition | older | $16.99 | 3,096 88% | 93k | $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) | Marmalade Game Studio Ltd |
| | Grey Hack | · EA older | $19.99 | 1,801 90% | 54k | $1.1M (exactly $1,080,060) | Loading Home |
| | Clue/Cluedo | older | $14.99 | 489 89% | 15k | $220k (exactly $219,903) | Marmalade Game Studio Ltd |
| | GangV | VR & PC Battle Royale | · EA older | $14.99 | 337 60% | 10k | $152k (exactly $151,549) | raptor lab |
| | Bullet Roulette VR | older | $7.99 | 435 86% | 13k | $104k (exactly $104,270) | Fibrum Limited |
| | Mini Thief | older | $4.99 | 373 69% | 11k | $56k (exactly $55,838) | Stranga Games, TommahGames |
| | Revenge of the Boxer: Moscow Criminality | older | $4.99 | 166 90% | 5.0k | $25k (exactly $24,850) | Alligator Friends Software |
| | Blueblood Arena | · EA | $8.99 | 88 96% | 2.6k | $24k (exactly $23,734) | Team Blueblood |
| | Light Fingers | $19.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,195) | Numizmatic | |
| | Deliverage | $12.99 | 17 82% | 510 | $6.6k (exactly $6,625) | Majao Games | |
| | Eat the Rich: Greed Games | $7.99 | 26 96% | 780 | $6.2k (exactly $6,232) | Maccima Games | |
| | Red Chair | · EA | $9.99 | 14 21% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | RedChair Gameworks |
| | Roulette Heist | $6.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $3.8k (exactly $3,775) | DreamArk Lab | |
| | Seven Sinners | $7.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $3.4k (exactly $3,356) | BillysBones, Grable Team | |
| | The Masquerade | $4.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | Chewa | |
| | NEVER HAPPENED | $3.99 | 18 66% | 540 | $2.2k (exactly $2,155) | SF Create |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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