Should I ship a Crime FMV?
FMV + Crime
Only 19 developers shipped a Crime FMV in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Misty Judgment, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $44k, ×70 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×502 the market median. Revenue is up 18765% on the market; 33 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $44k (exactly $43,961) |
| Top 25% | $251k (exactly $250,933) |
| Top 5% | $316k (exactly $315,549) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 46 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 18765% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- FMV; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Immersive Sim, RPG, Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cinematic, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 5,291 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
FMV with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SurvivalStrong odds
- + Post-apocalypticStrong odds
- + StrategyStrong odds
- + Multiple EndingsStrong odds
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + Choices MatterStrong odds
- + Dating SimStrong odds
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + SimulationStrong odds
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + Visual NovelStrong odds
- + RPGStrong odds
Comparable games
The Operator 2024 · $3.6M 
Late Shift 2017 · $3.5M 
Her Story 2015 · $2.5M 
Peeping Dorm Manager 2023 · $2.0M 
Contradiction: Spot The Liar 2015 · $1.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Operator | older | $13.99 | 8,515 91% | 255k | $3.6M (exactly $3,573,746) | Bureau 81 |
| | Late Shift | older | $14.99 | 7,762 86% | 233k | $3.5M (exactly $3,490,571) | CtrlMovie |
| | Her Story | older | $9.99 | 8,367 89% | 251k | $2.5M (exactly $2,507,590) | Sam Barlow |
| | Peeping Dorm Manager | older | $10.99 | 6,206 92% | 186k | $2.0M (exactly $2,046,118) | HornyDoge |
| | Contradiction: Spot The Liar | older | $12.99 | 2,838 94% | 85k | $1.1M (exactly $1,105,969) | Baggy Cat Ltd. |
 | Telling Lies | older | $19.99 | 1,250 62% | 38k | $750k (exactly $749,625) | Sam Barlow, Half Mermaid, Furious Bee L… (Sam Barlow, Half Mermaid, Furious Bee Limited) |
 | She Sees Red - Interactive Movie | older | $7.99 | 2,739 77% | 82k | $657k (exactly $656,538) | Rhinotales |
 | Erica | older | $11.99 | 1,629 78% | 49k | $586k (exactly $585,951) | Flavourworks |
 | Misty Judgment | $8.99 | 1,170 92% | 35k | $316k (exactly $315,549) | 次元边界 | |
 | Who Pressed Mute on Uncle Marcus? | older | $14.99 | 669 71% | 20k | $301k (exactly $300,849) | Wales Interactive, Good Gate Media |
 | Undercover | $14.99 | 667 77% | 20k | $300k (exactly $299,950) | intiny | |
 | The Endless Abyss: A Busty Cop’s Corrupted Soul | $12.99 | 683 71% | 20k | $266k (exactly $266,165) | GiraffeLiam | |
 | Evil School | $7.99 | 1,058 92% | 32k | $254k (exactly $253,603) | CineGame Interactive | |
 | Refate: Echoes of Desire | $14.99 | 558 87% | 17k | $251k (exactly $250,933) | Terraflame Entertainment | |
 | Queen's Gamble | $12.99 | 294 61% | 8.8k | $115k (exactly $114,572) | Black Square Games | |
 | The Narcotic Operation | $8.99 | 356 87% | 11k | $96k (exactly $96,013) | Beijing Kuailai Technology Co., Ltd. | |
 | FRESHIE SISTERS | $12.99 | 202 73% | 6.1k | $79k (exactly $78,719) | Bimbo Sisters Games | |
 | WANTED: Wild Sluts 🔞 | $14.99 | 140 68% | 4.2k | $63k (exactly $62,958) | Lewd Star | |
 | Punishment NyanNyan R | $8.99 | 163 95% | 4.9k | $44k (exactly $43,961) | ぬるぬる坊主 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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