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Should I ship a Gun Customization Crafting game?
Gun Customization + Crafting
Of 37 developers who shipped a Gun Customization Crafting game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 116 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $350k, ×564 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 116 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.1k (exactly $2,097) |
| Top 25% | $31k (exactly $30,786) |
| Top 5% | $354k (exactly $354,423) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 37 |
| Released games | 90 |
| Announced | 116 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Crafting
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Gun Customization, Crafting; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Inventory Management, Action, Combat
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,671 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 6 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 116 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
Far Cry® 6 2023 · $60M 
Noita 2020 · $49M 
From the Depths 2020 · $8.3M 
NavalArt 2018 · EA · $1.4M 
MOTHERGUNSHIP 2018 · $816k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Far Cry® 6 | older | $59.99 | 33,280 71% | 998k | $60M (exactly $59,894,016) | Ubisoft Toronto, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubis… (Ubisoft Toronto, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Berlin) |
| | Noita | older | $19.99 | 81,149 95% | 2.4M | $49M (exactly $48,665,055) | Nolla Games |
| | From the Depths | older | $24.99 | 11,059 89% | 332k | $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) | Brilliant Skies Ltd. |
| | NavalArt | · EA older | $19.99 | 2,362 90% | 71k | $1.4M (exactly $1,416,491) | Rigidbody |
| | MOTHERGUNSHIP | older | $24.99 | 1,088 77% | 33k | $816k (exactly $815,674) | Terrible Posture Games, Grip Digital |
 | Cargo Hunters | · EA | $19.99 | 739 82% | 22k | $443k (exactly $443,178) | Order Of Meta |
 | Rise of Gun | older | $12.99 | 1,094 84% | 33k | $426k (exactly $426,332) | PimpGameStudio |
 | Hard Time III | older | $14.99 | 929 85% | 28k | $418k (exactly $417,771) | MDickie |
 | Medieval Blacksmith | $19.99 | 591 79% | 18k | $354k (exactly $354,423) | OGO Play | |
 | Save Room - Organization Puzzle | older | $2.99 | 2,033 97% | 61k | $182k (exactly $182,360) | Fractal Projects |
 | C.A.S.T. (CHERNOZEM ANOMALY STRIKE TEAM) | $6.99 | 777 87% | 23k | $163k (exactly $162,937) | BRAIN DOES (NOT) WORK | |
 | Machick 2 | $6.99 | 606 88% | 18k | $127k (exactly $127,078) | DeadPixel | |
 | Gun Factory Simulator | · EA | $14.99 | 162 62% | 4.9k | $73k (exactly $72,851) | Broken Clock |
 | Cataclysm: The Last Generation | $6.99 | 281 89% | 8.4k | $59k (exactly $58,926) | Worm Girl | |
 | Territory Control 2 | · EA | $19.99 | 92 77% | 2.8k | $55k (exactly $55,172) | TFlippy, Knorrepot |
 | Iridio | $19.99 | 87 86% | 2.6k | $52k (exactly $52,174) | KR Games | |
 | Chop Chains | $5.99 | 257 77% | 7.7k | $46k (exactly $46,183) | Blasted Games | |
 | Cosmos point | $12.99 | 79 79% | 2.4k | $31k (exactly $30,786) | Anatoliy Sidorov |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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