Do I ship it?

Games › Open World Survival Craft › Open World Survival Craft + Cooking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cooking Open World Survival Craft?

Open World Survival Craft + Cooking

Only 12 developers shipped a Cooking Open World Survival Craft in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Card Survival: Fantasy Forest, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $26k, ×19 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $740k, ×556 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 19.0 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 23 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Open World Survival Craft + Cooking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $26k → $93k → $139k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Open World Survival Craft + Cooking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $4.0k (exactly $4,047)
Median $26k (exactly $25,583)
Top 25% $290k (exactly $290,056)
Top 5% $749k (exactly $748,760)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 28
Announced 23
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Open World Survival Craft
effort 9 / 10 · low · dedicated multiplayer servers over a huge content build
Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Open World Survival Craft, Cooking
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 2,983 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.1k, median $26k, 1 in 4 over $290k, 1 in 20 over $740k.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.1k. 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Open World Survival Craft with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  2. + Co-opPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  3. + Online Co-OpPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  4. + Immersive SimPoor odds14 devs · median $183k · 37 announced
  5. + PhysicsPoor odds8 devs · median $183k · 27 announced
  6. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $170k · 25 announced
  7. + MedievalPoor odds13 devs · median $154k · 37 announced
  8. + ShooterPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds22 devs · median $125k · 56 announced
  10. + Sci-fiPoor odds32 devs · median $124k · 76 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds34 devs · median $116k · 60 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds76 devs · median $96k · 165 announced

All 54 pairs on the Open World Survival Craft page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Saleblazers 2023 · EA · $1.8M Among Trees 2021 · $931k Card Survival: Fantasy Forest 2025 · EA · $749k Winter Survival 2025 · $339k Farm to Table 2026 · EA · $290k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Saleblazers · EA older $29.99 1,974 78% 59k $1.8M (exactly $1,776,008) AIRSTRAFE INTERACTIVE
Among Trees older $14.99 2,071 68% 62k $931k (exactly $931,329) FJRD Interactive
Card Survival: Fantasy Forest · EA $21.99 1,135 76% 34k $749k (exactly $748,760) WinterSpring Games
Winter Survival $18.99 595 62% 18k $339k (exactly $338,972) DRAGO entertainment
Farm to Table · EA $14.99 645 91% 19k $290k (exactly $290,056) indieGiant
Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) · EA older $23.99 267 72% 8.0k $192k (exactly $192,160) Happy Daram Inc.
Badiya: Desert Survival · EA older $19.99 284 50% 8.5k $170k (exactly $170,315) Semaphore
Project: Mist · EA $17.99 257 72% 7.7k $139k (exactly $138,703) Chicken Launcher
Lighthouse Keeper older $11.99 336 81% 10k $121k (exactly $120,859) Stratera Games
Kentum $17.99 172 75% 5.2k $93k (exactly $92,828) Tlön Industries
The Dream Within $6.99 122 81% 3.7k $26k (exactly $25,583) Roaming of Little Hammer
Pumpkin Woods · EA $19.99 24 87% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) Enchanted Pumpkin Co.
Surviving Skeleton Island $9.99 14 64% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Bert Games
Kalahari’s End · EA $14.99 9 55% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Owlfig Games
Collinwood · EA $9.99 10 0% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Studio WhatHunts

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.