Do I ship it?

Games › Wrestling › Wrestling + Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Wrestling game?

Wrestling + Combat

Only 12 developers shipped a Combat Wrestling game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Kinky Fight Club 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×3.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $21k, ×34 the market median. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 34 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 34 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wrestling + Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $12k → $115k → $2.3k → $359 (still earning) → $3.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Wrestling + Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $598 (exactly $598)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,338)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,688)
Top 5% $22k (exactly $21,600)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 46
Announced 34
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wrestling
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Wrestling, Combat
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 230 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $21k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wrestling with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Character CustomizationPoor odds11 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  2. + SportsPoor odds19 devs · median $4.5k · 33 announced
  3. + SimulationPoor odds15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  4. + 3D FighterPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds15 devs · median $2.1k · 25 announced
  6. + ArcadePoor odds12 devs · median $1.8k · 22 announced
  7. + ActionPoor odds19 devs · median $1.5k · 46 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upPoor odds7 devs · median $539 · 23 announced
  9. + StrategyPoor odds9 devs · median $300 · 19 announced
  10. + PhysicsDead5 devs · median $3.1k · 13 announced
  11. + FightingDead7 devs · median $2.1k · 4 announced
  12. + Local MultiplayerDead5 devs · median $2.1k · 16 announced

All 13 pairs on the Wrestling page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Wrestling Empire 2021 · $1.8M AEW: Fight Forever 2023 · $1.6M WrestleQuest 2023 · $444k Hard Time III 2024 · $418k Final Vendetta 2022 · $286k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wrestling Empire older $19.99 3,036 94% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) MDickie
AEW: Fight Forever older $39.99 1,343 59% 40k $1.6M (exactly $1,611,197) YUKE'S
WrestleQuest older $29.99 493 76% 15k $444k (exactly $443,552) Mega Cat Studios
Hard Time III older $14.99 929 85% 28k $418k (exactly $417,771) MDickie
Final Vendetta older $24.99 381 81% 11k $286k (exactly $285,636) Bitmap Bureau
A Gummy's Life older $19.99 194 81% 5.8k $116k (exactly $116,342) EP Games®
Checkmate Showdown older $19.99 192 80% 5.8k $115k (exactly $115,142) BadRez Games
Pro Wrestling X · EA older $9.99 256 44% 7.7k $77k (exactly $76,723) Wrestling Gamers United
UPPERS older $14.99 155 78% 4.7k $70k (exactly $69,704) Bullets
Kinky Fight Club older $19.99 107 78% 3.2k $64k (exactly $64,168) Mr Z Games
Kinky Fight Club 2 $20.00 36 91% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,600) Skyflare Studios, MrZGames
UnderGirl: Submission Path $7.99 72 73% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,258) KadoDev
Uchi No Heya! $9.99 39 100% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,688) James West
SBcatfight game $12.99 12 91% 360 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) DoNyan
Spectacular Team: Assemble $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Sengi Games
Last Eclipse $12.99 6 50% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Animas Games
Brainrot Animals Fighting $1.99 35 71% 1.1k $2.1k (exactly $2,090) River Way Studios
FINAL FURY · EA $4.99 10 60% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Kluge Interactive
Wrestling Classics: Olde Timey Pro Wrestling $3.99 5 60% 150 $598 (exactly $598) LunarCore Games
Corporate Beatdown $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) Vindoozle

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.