Do I ship it?

GamesCharacter CustomizationCharacter Customization + Wrestling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Character Customization Wrestling game?

Character Customization + Wrestling

Only 11 developers shipped a Character Customization Wrestling game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WWE 2K25, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×18 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $7.3M, ×11773 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 17.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Character Customization + Wrestling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $112k → $30k → $359 → $70k → $29k → $78k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Character Customization + Wrestling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Median $11k (exactly $11,242)
Top 25% $78k (exactly $78,248)
Top 5% $7.4M (exactly $7,393,168)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 48
Announced 21
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Character Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Wrestling
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Character Customization, Wrestling
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 8,697 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.2k, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $78k, 1 in 20 over $7.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.2k. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  2. + Real-TimeStrong odds7 devs · median $2.0k · 6 announced
  3. + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair10 devs · median $18k · 8 announced
  4. + TransportationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  5. + MinigamesFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.2k · 13 announced
  7. + BikesFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  8. + IdlerFair210 devs · median $1.2k · 286 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair146 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  10. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $836 · 32 announced
  11. + Precision PlatformerFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  12. + TypingFair27 devs · median $539 · 38 announced

All 250 pairs on the Character Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WWE 2K25 $59.99 4,108 73% 123k $7.4M (exactly $7,393,168) Visual Concepts
WWE 2K26 $69.99 2,310 56% 69k $4.9M (exactly $4,850,307) Visual Concepts
Fire Pro Wrestling World older $29.99 3,124 91% 94k $2.8M (exactly $2,810,663) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Wrestling Empire older $19.99 3,036 94% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) MDickie
AEW: Fight Forever older $39.99 1,343 59% 40k $1.6M (exactly $1,611,197) YUKE'S
Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage $19.99 1,897 71% 57k $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631) RGG Studio
Hard Time III older $14.99 929 85% 28k $418k (exactly $417,771) MDickie
Pro Wrestling Sim · EA older $19.99 662 97% 20k $397k (exactly $397,001) Pro Wrestling Sim
Old School older $14.99 442 83% 13k $199k (exactly $198,767) MDickie
The Game of Annie 安妮的游戏 older $7.99 466 62% 14k $112k (exactly $111,700) potentknight
Femboy Futa Mania 🌶️ $14.99 174 71% 5.2k $78k (exactly $78,248) Lewd Star
Pro Wrestler Story $8.99 109 49% 3.3k $29k (exactly $29,397) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Kinky Fight Club 2 $20.00 36 91% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,600) Skyflare Studios, MrZGames
Believr Pro Wrestling · EA $14.99 25 72% 750 $11k (exactly $11,242) Believr Games
Prop Sumo $9.99 13 84% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Barrel Roll Games
Spectacular Team: Assemble $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Sengi Games
SLOWLY FIGHTER $5.99 12 100% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) Bakumatsu Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.