Do I ship it?

GamesFightingFighting + Wrestling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Wrestling Fighting game?

Fighting + Wrestling

Only 7 developers shipped a Wrestling Fighting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WWE 2K25, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.1k against a market of $1.5k. 4 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 4 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fighting + Wrestling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Fighting + Wrestling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,090)
Top 25% $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631)
Top 5% $7.4M (exactly $7,393,168)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 33
Announced 4
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fighting
effort 7 / 10 · low · frame data, hitboxes and rollback netcode
Wrestling
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Fighting, Wrestling
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 13,102 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $1.1M, 1 in 20 over $7.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 4 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fighting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SandboxStrong odds11 devs · median $76k · 8 announced
  2. + Score AttackLong shot13 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  3. + Open WorldPoor odds12 devs · median $117k · 26 announced
  4. + Dark FantasyPoor odds11 devs · median $56k · 23 announced
  5. + Souls-likePoor odds8 devs · median $24k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds13 devs · median $13k · 33 announced
  7. + HistoricalPoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds5 devs · median $9.6k · 18 announced
  9. + Local Co-OpPoor odds41 devs · median $9.4k · 45 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds45 devs · median $9.0k · 64 announced
  11. + Hack and SlashPoor odds29 devs · median $8.7k · 60 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds44 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced

All 67 pairs on the Fighting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WWE 2K25 $59.99 4,108 73% 123k $7.4M (exactly $7,393,168) Visual Concepts
WWE 2K26 $69.99 2,310 56% 69k $4.9M (exactly $4,850,307) Visual Concepts
Fire Pro Wrestling World older $29.99 3,124 91% 94k $2.8M (exactly $2,810,663) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage $19.99 1,897 71% 57k $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631) RGG Studio
Final Vendetta older $24.99 381 81% 11k $286k (exactly $285,636) Bitmap Bureau
RetroMania Wrestling older $19.99 243 80% 7.3k $146k (exactly $145,727) Retrosoft Studios
Wrestling Revolution 3D older $9.99 397 87% 12k $119k (exactly $118,981) MDickie
A Gummy's Life older $19.99 194 81% 5.8k $116k (exactly $116,342) EP Games®
Checkmate Showdown older $19.99 192 80% 5.8k $115k (exactly $115,142) BadRez Games
Pro Wrestling X · EA older $9.99 256 44% 7.7k $77k (exactly $76,723) Wrestling Gamers United
UnderGirl: Submission Path $7.99 72 73% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,258) KadoDev
Brainrot Animals Fighting $1.99 35 71% 1.1k $2.1k (exactly $2,090) River Way Studios
FINAL FURY · EA $4.99 10 60% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Kluge Interactive
Wrestling Classics: Olde Timey Pro Wrestling $3.99 5 60% 150 $598 (exactly $598) LunarCore Games
UPG - Underground $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Real Bean Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.