Do I ship it?

Games › Wrestling › Wrestling + Action

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Wrestling game?

Wrestling + Action

Only 19 developers shipped an Action Wrestling game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×6.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×1812 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 46 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 46 announced, ×6.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wrestling + Action
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $22k → $6.3k → $359 → $1.7k → $2.2k → $2.1k → $3.9k (still earning) → $598 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Wrestling + Action: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 89
Announced 46
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wrestling
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Wrestling, Action; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry 3D Fighter, Character Customization, Combat
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 2,084 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wrestling with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Character CustomizationPoor odds11 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  2. + SportsPoor odds19 devs · median $4.5k · 33 announced
  3. + SimulationPoor odds15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  4. + CombatPoor odds12 devs · median $2.3k · 34 announced
  5. + 3D FighterPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  6. + Martial ArtsPoor odds15 devs · median $2.1k · 25 announced
  7. + ArcadePoor odds12 devs · median $1.8k · 22 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upPoor odds7 devs · median $539 · 23 announced
  9. + StrategyPoor odds9 devs · median $300 · 19 announced
  10. + PhysicsDead5 devs · median $3.1k · 13 announced
  11. + FightingDead7 devs · median $2.1k · 4 announced
  12. + Local MultiplayerDead5 devs · median $2.1k · 16 announced

All 13 pairs on the Wrestling page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Fire Pro Wrestling World 2017 · $2.8M Guacamelee! 2 2018 · $1.6M AEW: Fight Forever 2023 · $1.6M Guacamelee! Super Turbo Championship Edition 2014 · $1.2M Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage 2025 · $1.1M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fire Pro Wrestling World older $29.99 3,124 91% 94k $2.8M (exactly $2,810,663) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Guacamelee! 2 older $19.99 2,711 91% 81k $1.6M (exactly $1,625,787) Drinkbox Studios
AEW: Fight Forever older $39.99 1,343 59% 40k $1.6M (exactly $1,611,197) YUKE'S
Guacamelee! Super Turbo Championship Edition older $14.99 2,633 93% 79k $1.2M (exactly $1,184,060) Drinkbox Studios
Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage $19.99 1,897 71% 57k $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631) RGG Studio
Final Vendetta older $24.99 381 81% 11k $286k (exactly $285,636) Bitmap Bureau
Old School older $14.99 442 83% 13k $199k (exactly $198,767) MDickie
RetroMania Wrestling older $19.99 243 80% 7.3k $146k (exactly $145,727) Retrosoft Studios
Wrestling Revolution 3D older $9.99 397 87% 12k $119k (exactly $118,981) MDickie
A Gummy's Life older $19.99 194 81% 5.8k $116k (exactly $116,342) EP Games®
UnderGirl: Submission Path $7.99 72 73% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,258) KadoDev
SBcatfight game $12.99 12 91% 360 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) DoNyan
Prop Sumo $9.99 13 84% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Barrel Roll Games
Spectacular Team: Assemble $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Sengi Games
Last Eclipse $12.99 6 50% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Animas Games
SLOWLY FIGHTER $5.99 12 100% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) Bakumatsu Games
Brainrot Animals Fighting $1.99 35 71% 1.1k $2.1k (exactly $2,090) River Way Studios
Dadlympics · EA $3.99 14 78% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Gooby Games
FINAL FURY · EA $4.99 10 60% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Kluge Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.