Do I ship it?

GamesWrestlingWrestling + Beat 'em up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Beat 'em up Wrestling game?

Wrestling + Beat 'em up

Only 7 developers shipped a Beat 'em up Wrestling game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Femboy Futa Mania 🌶️, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $78k, ×125 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 23 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 23 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Wrestling + Beat 'em up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Wrestling + Beat 'em up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Top 5% $78k (exactly $78,248)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 35
Announced 23
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Wrestling
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Wrestling, Beat 'em up
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 9,855 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $540, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $78k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 23 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Wrestling with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Character CustomizationPoor odds11 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  2. + SportsPoor odds19 devs · median $4.5k · 33 announced
  3. + SimulationPoor odds15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  4. + CombatPoor odds12 devs · median $2.3k · 34 announced
  5. + 3D FighterPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  6. + Martial ArtsPoor odds15 devs · median $2.1k · 25 announced
  7. + ArcadePoor odds12 devs · median $1.8k · 22 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds19 devs · median $1.5k · 46 announced
  9. + StrategyPoor odds9 devs · median $300 · 19 announced
  10. + PhysicsDead5 devs · median $3.1k · 13 announced
  11. + FightingDead7 devs · median $2.1k · 4 announced
  12. + Local MultiplayerDead5 devs · median $2.1k · 16 announced

All 13 pairs on the Wrestling page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wrestling Empire older $19.99 3,036 94% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) MDickie
Guacamelee! 2 older $19.99 2,711 91% 81k $1.6M (exactly $1,625,787) Drinkbox Studios
Guacamelee! Super Turbo Championship Edition older $14.99 2,633 93% 79k $1.2M (exactly $1,184,060) Drinkbox Studios
Final Vendetta older $24.99 381 81% 11k $286k (exactly $285,636) Bitmap Bureau
RetroMania Wrestling older $19.99 243 80% 7.3k $146k (exactly $145,727) Retrosoft Studios
A Gummy's Life older $19.99 194 81% 5.8k $116k (exactly $116,342) EP Games®
Femboy Futa Mania 🌶️ $14.99 174 71% 5.2k $78k (exactly $78,248) Lewd Star
Pro Wrestling X · EA older $9.99 256 44% 7.7k $77k (exactly $76,723) Wrestling Gamers United
UPPERS older $14.99 155 78% 4.7k $70k (exactly $69,704) Bullets
Treachery in Beatdown City older $19.99 72 76% 2.2k $43k (exactly $43,178) NuChallenger, HurakanWorks
Prop Sumo $9.99 13 84% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Barrel Roll Games
Last Eclipse $12.99 6 50% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Animas Games
Corporate Beatdown $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) Vindoozle
A Camera Duel! $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) JamieEng542
Anima Fighters $10.99 1 100% 30 $330 (exactly $330) Animas Games
Slap Master · EA $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Inkby.Sainz
UPG - Underground $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Real Bean Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.