Do I ship it?

Games › PvP › PvP + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Collectathon game?

PvP + Collectathon

Of 47 developers who shipped a PvP Collectathon game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 101 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 101 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper, while revenue is down 30% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 101 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $1.5k → $5.4k → $30 → $1.4k → $1.5k → $239 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $600 (exactly $600)
Top 25% $2.6k (exactly $2,637)
Top 5% $579k (exactly $578,757)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 124
Announced 101
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Collectathon; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Action, Immersive Sim
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Relaxing, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 16,354 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $570k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 101 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Temtem 2022 · $42M INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road 2025 · $23M Coromon 2022 · $3.8M Supercar Collection Simulator 2025 · $595k Card Shop Simulator Multiplayer 2025 · $579k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Temtem older $44.99 31,263 82% 938k $42M (exactly $42,195,671) Crema
INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road $69.99 11,180 88% 335k $23M (exactly $23,474,646) LEVEL5 Inc.
Coromon older $19.99 6,327 85% 190k $3.8M (exactly $3,794,302) TRAGsoft
Supercar Collection Simulator $12.99 1,528 85% 46k $595k (exactly $595,462) Kiki Games
Card Shop Simulator Multiplayer $11.99 1,609 82% 48k $579k (exactly $578,757) ShaneGame
Rise of the Triad: Ludicrous Edition older $19.99 678 93% 20k $407k (exactly $406,597) Nightdive Studios, Apogee Software, New… (Nightdive Studios, Apogee Software, New Blood Interactive)
Anime Shop Simulator ✨ $14.99 589 73% 18k $265k (exactly $264,873) One More Time
Botworld Odyssey $25.00 279 76% 8.4k $209k (exactly $209,250) Featherweight Games
Monster Crown older $9.99 677 65% 20k $203k (exactly $202,897) Studio Aurum
Kukoro: Stream chat games older $4.99 913 97% 27k $137k (exactly $136,676) HeyNau
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
TV Archive: Tidy Up Together $4.99 544 71% 16k $81k (exactly $81,437) Games Together
Nanomon Virtual Pet $14.99 113 88% 3.4k $51k (exactly $50,816) Oscar Brittain
Mall: Tidy Up Together $4.99 243 69% 7.3k $36k (exactly $36,377) Games Together
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.