Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + War

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a War Co-op Campaign game?

Co-op Campaign + War

Only 11 developers shipped a War Co-op Campaign game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Gears of War: Reloaded, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×8.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $52k against a market of $1.5k. 26 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 35.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 26 announced, ×8.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + War
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $52k → $325k
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + War: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $52k (exactly $52,462)
Top 25% $372k (exactly $371,576)
Top 5% $4.7M (exactly $4,738,815)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 43
Announced 26
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
War
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 65% positive over 5,986 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $52k, 1 in 4 over $370k, 1 in 20 over $4.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 5 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield 3™ older $39.99 16,378 71% 491k $20M (exactly $19,648,687) DICE
From the Depths older $24.99 11,059 89% 332k $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) Brilliant Skies Ltd.
Battlefleet Gothic: Armada 2 older $19.99 9,701 74% 291k $5.8M (exactly $5,817,690) Tindalos Interactive
Gears of War: Reloaded $39.99 3,950 61% 119k $4.7M (exactly $4,738,815) The Coalition
Sniper Elite V2 Remastered older $34.99 3,437 78% 103k $3.6M (exactly $3,607,819) Rebellion
Command & Conquer™ Red Alert™ 3 older $6.96 14,605 85% 438k $3.0M (exactly $3,049,524) EA Los Angeles
Zero Caliber VR older $24.99 3,771 78% 113k $2.8M (exactly $2,827,119) XREAL Games
War Mongrels older $44.99 1,826 72% 55k $2.5M (exactly $2,464,552) Destructive Creations
Blazing Chrome older $16.99 1,326 89% 40k $676k (exactly $675,862) JoyMasher
Tank Squad $19.99 847 70% 25k $508k (exactly $507,946) DeGenerals S.A.
63 Days $29.99 413 72% 12k $372k (exactly $371,576) Destructive Creations
Zero Caliber 2 Remastered $24.99 433 79% 13k $325k (exactly $324,620) XREAL Games
How 2 Escape: Lost Submarine $12.99 161 83% 4.8k $63k (exactly $62,742) Breakfirst Games
Dawn of Anarchy $13.99 125 84% 3.8k $52k (exactly $52,462) Quacky Games
Tactical Warfare $9.99 52 67% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,584) Mizrab
Pixel Troopers · EA $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Liberator Studios
Tank Brigade $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Dual B Games
Falcon 2023(猎鹰2023) $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) 独立游戏Sun_Official

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.