Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Exploration

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Exploration game?

Co-op Campaign + Exploration

Of 54 developers who shipped a Co-op Campaign Exploration game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 153 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $14k, ×9.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $19M, ×12999 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 153 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 153 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Exploration
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 54
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $43k → $16k → $14k → $279k → $18k → $3.7k (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Exploration: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 54
Bottom 30% $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Median $14k (exactly $13,762)
Top 25% $267k (exactly $267,466)
Top 5% $19M (exactly $19,472,259)
Developers, 2 yr 54
Released games 122
Announced 153
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Exploration
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, Exploration; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Online Co-Op, Co-op
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 164,160 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.8k, median $14k, 1 in 4 over $260k, 1 in 20 over $19M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 5 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 153 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  8. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  9. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $6.2k · 30 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition older $44.99 180,782 95% 5.4M $244M (exactly $244,001,465) Larian Studios
Dying Light: The Beast $59.99 59,318 87% 1.8M $107M (exactly $106,754,605) Techland
Abiotic Factor $34.99 42,075 95% 1.3M $44M (exactly $44,166,128) Deep Field Games
Trailmakers older $24.99 33,465 92% 1.0M $25M (exactly $25,088,710) Flashbulb
The Riftbreaker older $29.99 22,127 90% 664k $20M (exactly $19,907,662) EXOR Studios
Big Walk $19.99 32,470 95% 974k $19M (exactly $19,472,259) House House
Little Nightmares III $39.99 10,165 46% 305k $12M (exactly $12,194,950) Supermassive Games
We Were Here Forever older $17.99 16,256 90% 488k $8.8M (exactly $8,773,363) Total Mayhem Games
We Were Here Together older $12.99 14,481 82% 434k $5.6M (exactly $5,643,246) Total Mayhem Games
Echo Point Nova $24.99 7,521 96% 226k $5.6M (exactly $5,638,494) Greylock Studio
Escape Simulator 2 $19.99 4,292 92% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,573,912) Pine Studio
Revenge of the Savage Planet $29.99 2,845 86% 85k $2.6M (exactly $2,559,646) Raccoon Logic Studios Inc.
ERA ONE · EA $29.99 1,575 86% 47k $1.4M (exactly $1,417,028) Team Complex LTD
LEGO® Voyagers $24.99 1,859 88% 56k $1.4M (exactly $1,393,692) Light Brick Studio
The Break-In $19.99 2,040 87% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,223,388) jorgen games Ltd, Oliver Josh

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.