Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Puzzle Platformer?

Co-op Campaign + Puzzle Platformer

Of 26 developers who shipped a Co-op Campaign Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $9.0k, ×6.0 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×930 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 53 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 53 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $5.0k → $17k → $14k → $6.6k → $5.9k (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Median $9.0k (exactly $8,996)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $24,929)
Top 5% $1.4M (exactly $1,393,692)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 83
Announced 53
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, Puzzle Platformer; all of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Co-op, Online Co-Op
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 81,343 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $9.0k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $6.2k · 30 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
Split Fiction $49.99 78,378 97% 2.4M $118M (exactly $117,543,487) Hazelight Studios
Trine 4: The Nightmare Prince older $29.99 11,712 88% 351k $11M (exactly $10,537,286) Frozenbyte
Trine 2: Complete Story older $19.99 15,273 95% 458k $9.2M (exactly $9,159,218) Frozenbyte
Trine Enchanted Edition older $14.99 12,843 95% 385k $5.8M (exactly $5,775,497) Frozenbyte
Trine 3: The Artifacts of Power older $21.99 7,301 63% 219k $4.8M (exactly $4,816,470) Frozenbyte
LEGO® Voyagers $24.99 1,859 88% 56k $1.4M (exactly $1,393,692) Light Brick Studio
KeyWe older $24.99 1,804 91% 54k $1.4M (exactly $1,352,459) Stonewheat & Sons
Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light older $9.99 3,566 92% 107k $1.1M (exactly $1,068,730) Crystal Dynamics
PHOGS! older $24.99 1,171 78% 35k $878k (exactly $877,899) Bit Loom Games
WheelMates $19.99 496 75% 15k $297k (exactly $297,451) Firevolt
Inkwellers $9.99 136 88% 4.1k $41k (exactly $40,759) ScrumptiousSprouts sp. z o.o.
All Hands on Deck $12.99 90 71% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,073) Studio Mantasaur, Wikkl
Split Brain $5.99 164 92% 4.9k $29k (exactly $29,471) Kusa Games
Together in Forgotten Lands $7.99 104 90% 3.1k $25k (exactly $24,929) Vellichor Games
UniDuni $11.99 61 95% 1.8k $22k (exactly $21,942) Clops Game Studio
Codename: Terranova $23.99 23 69% 690 $17k (exactly $16,553) ACGames
CTHULOOT $14.99 32 81% 960 $14k (exactly $14,390) Pixelnest Studio, Headbang Club

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.