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Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Crafting game?
Co-op Campaign + Crafting
Only 17 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Crafting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Abiotic Factor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $6.2k, ×4.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $700; 1 in 20 cleared $44M, ×29483 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 34 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $693 (exactly $693) |
|---|---|
| Median | $6.2k (exactly $6,235) |
| Top 25% | $73k (exactly $72,860) |
| Top 5% | $44M (exactly $44,166,128) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Co-op Campaign
- effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
- Crafting
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Co-op Campaign, Crafting; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Online Co-Op
- Price point
- $10.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 43,496 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $700. 5 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + ZombiesPoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + HorrorPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + Sci-fiPoor odds
- + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + PlatformerPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide 2022 · $130M 
Abiotic Factor 2025 · $44M 
Trailmakers 2019 · $25M 
The Riftbreaker 2021 · $20M 
From the Depths 2020 · $8.3M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Warhammer 40,000: Darktide | older | $39.99 | 108,477 72% | 3.3M | $130M (exactly $130,139,857) | Fatshark |
| | Abiotic Factor | $34.99 | 42,075 95% | 1.3M | $44M (exactly $44,166,128) | Deep Field Games | |
| | Trailmakers | older | $24.99 | 33,465 92% | 1.0M | $25M (exactly $25,088,710) | Flashbulb |
| | The Riftbreaker | older | $29.99 | 22,127 90% | 664k | $20M (exactly $19,907,662) | EXOR Studios |
| | From the Depths | older | $24.99 | 11,059 89% | 332k | $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) | Brilliant Skies Ltd. |
 | Drug Dealer Simulator 2 | older | $24.99 | 5,480 69% | 164k | $4.1M (exactly $4,108,356) | Byterunners |
 | DESOLATE | older | $14.99 | 6,228 68% | 187k | $2.8M (exactly $2,800,732) | Nearga |
 | Saleblazers | · EA older | $29.99 | 1,974 78% | 59k | $1.8M (exactly $1,776,008) | AIRSTRAFE INTERACTIVE |
 | Frozen Flame | · EA older | $19.99 | 2,231 61% | 67k | $1.3M (exactly $1,337,931) | Dreamside Interactive |
 | Kitaria Fables | older | $19.99 | 1,253 73% | 38k | $751k (exactly $751,424) | Twin Hearts, Secret Level Studios |
 | LEGO® Horizon Adventures™ | $39.99 | 403 60% | 12k | $483k (exactly $483,479) | Guerrilla Games, Studio Gobo | |
 | Astroloot | · EA | $6.99 | 587 92% | 18k | $123k (exactly $123,094) | Andreas Hager Gaming |
 | Into Black | $29.99 | 125 87% | 3.8k | $112k (exactly $112,462) | The Binary Mill | |
 | Keep Keepers | $17.99 | 135 87% | 4.1k | $73k (exactly $72,860) | Thunderrock Innovations | |
 | Potion Shop Simulator | $12.99 | 57 77% | 1.7k | $22k (exactly $22,213) | Pebbles Games, Bird Pals SIA | |
 | Neolithic Dawn | $19.99 | 30 60% | 900 | $18k (exactly $17,991) | Neolithic LLC | |
 | Lugal: Bronze Age Survival Game | · EA | $14.99 | 35 71% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $15,740) | Tea & Cake Games |
 | Caravan Village: Farming Life | · EA | $12.99 | 16 62% | 480 | $6.2k (exactly $6,235) | Corvantia Interactive |
 | Market Simulator | $4.99 | 33 75% | 990 | $4.9k (exactly $4,940) | KOZGAMES |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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