Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Co-op Campaign game?

Co-op Campaign + Horror

Of 31 developers who shipped a Horror Co-op Campaign game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 66 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $14k, ×9.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $12M, ×8141 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 66 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 66 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $43k → $9.6k → $14k → $27k → $647k → $33k (still earning) → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $1.9k (exactly $1,915)
Median $14k (exactly $14,386)
Top 25% $250k (exactly $249,767)
Top 5% $12M (exactly $12,194,950)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 93
Announced 66
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Online Co-Op, Co-op
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 80,026 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.0k, median $14k, 1 in 4 over $240k, 1 in 20 over $12M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 6 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 66 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  6. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  8. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  9. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $6.2k · 30 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ready or Not older $49.99 265,219 79% 8.0M $398M (exactly $397,748,934) VOID Interactive
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide older $39.99 108,477 72% 3.3M $130M (exactly $130,139,857) Fatshark
Dying Light: The Beast $59.99 59,318 87% 1.8M $107M (exactly $106,754,605) Techland
Resident Evil 6 older $19.99 51,420 77% 1.5M $31M (exactly $30,836,574) Capcom
Resident Evil 5 older $19.99 48,521 87% 1.5M $29M (exactly $29,098,044) Capcom
Aliens: Fireteam Elite older $29.99 21,668 80% 650k $19M (exactly $19,494,700) Cold Iron Studios
Gears 5 older $29.99 21,210 72% 636k $19M (exactly $19,082,637) The Coalition
Strange Brigade older $49.99 8,309 84% 249k $12M (exactly $12,461,007) Rebellion
Little Nightmares III $39.99 10,165 46% 305k $12M (exactly $12,194,950) Supermassive Games
Dungeons 3 older $29.99 12,648 93% 379k $11M (exactly $11,379,406) Realmforge Studios
Gears of War: Reloaded $39.99 3,950 61% 119k $4.7M (exactly $4,738,815) The Coalition
The Break-In $19.99 2,040 87% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,223,388) jorgen games Ltd, Oliver Josh
Blood: Refreshed Supply™ $29.99 719 71% 22k $647k (exactly $646,884) Nightdive Studios, Monolith Productions
Paranoia Place: Escape Together $7.99 1,555 87% 47k $373k (exactly $372,734) Bloody Pixel Games
Blood Typers $12.49 912 94% 27k $342k (exactly $341,726) Outer Brain Studios
Storebound $7.99 1,042 76% 31k $250k (exactly $249,767) Embers
Devil of the Plague · EA $9.99 186 78% 5.6k $56k (exactly $55,744) SoulByte Games
Astrumis - Survive Together $9.99 139 70% 4.2k $42k (exactly $41,658) Tyci

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.