Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Twin Stick Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Twin Stick Shooter?

Co-op Campaign + Twin Stick Shooter

Only 12 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Twin Stick Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, No Way Home, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $630 against a market of $1.5k. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 19 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Twin Stick Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $809 → $300 → $1.4k
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Twin Stick Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $628 (exactly $628)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 5% $23k (exactly $22,777)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 47
Announced 19
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Twin Stick Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, Twin Stick Shooter
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 143 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $630, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $22k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nine Parchments older $19.99 4,123 77% 124k $2.5M (exactly $2,472,563) Frozenbyte
War Mongrels older $44.99 1,826 72% 55k $2.5M (exactly $2,464,552) Destructive Creations
POSTAL Redux older $8.99 6,745 92% 202k $1.8M (exactly $1,819,126) Running With Scissors
Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light older $9.99 3,566 92% 107k $1.1M (exactly $1,068,730) Crystal Dynamics
LARA CROFT AND THE TEMPLE OF OSIRIS™ older $19.99 1,262 68% 38k $757k (exactly $756,821) Crystal Dynamics
9th Dawn III older $15.99 501 87% 15k $240k (exactly $240,330) Valorware
NeuroVoider older $13.99 492 77% 15k $206k (exactly $206,492) Flying Oak Games
Stardust Galaxy Warriors: Stellar Climax older $9.99 186 91% 5.6k $56k (exactly $55,744) Dreamloop Games
No Way Home $9.99 76 88% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) SMG Studio
Toy Tanks older $9.99 64 89% 1.9k $19k (exactly $19,181) Fuzzy Sock Studios
Yarn Guardians $14.99 14 100% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) pentapaw studios
Invasion Protocol $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) GoldenGod Games
Roguevive $1.99 23 69% 690 $1.4k (exactly $1,373) Chiorco
Super Firefighter $6.99 4 100% 120 $839 (exactly $839) William Giguère
The B.L.O.O.M Initiative $2.99 7 100% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Trema-Coding
BattleTanks - Animal Wars $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Kasur Games
Exterminators of Saturn $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Violence in Video Games
Questwood $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Lyrical Games
WARPED $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Starbound Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.