Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Tower Defense

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Tower Defense?

Co-op Campaign + Tower Defense

Only 10 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Tower Defense in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Keep Keepers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $900 against a market of $1.5k. 26 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 320% on the market, 26 announced, ×6.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Tower Defense
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $17k → $898 → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Tower Defense: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,838)
Top 5% $73k (exactly $72,860)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 40
Announced 26
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 320% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, Tower Defense
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 89% positive over 281 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $900, 1 in 4 over $5.8k, 1 in 20 over $72k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Riftbreaker older $29.99 22,127 90% 664k $20M (exactly $19,907,662) EXOR Studios
Orcs Must Die! 3 older $29.99 10,930 85% 328k $9.8M (exactly $9,833,721) Robot Entertainment
HYPERCHARGE: Unboxed older $24.99 3,798 90% 114k $2.8M (exactly $2,847,361) Digital Cybercherries
Out of Ammo older $9.99 699 84% 21k $209k (exactly $209,490) RocketWerkz
Colony Siege older $19.99 199 91% 6.0k $119k (exactly $119,340) Finifugal Games
Timemelters older $19.99 152 92% 4.6k $91k (exactly $91,154) Autoexec Games
Bish Bash Bots older $19.99 145 77% 4.4k $87k (exactly $86,956) CATASTROPHIC_OVERLOAD
Keep Keepers $17.99 135 87% 4.1k $73k (exactly $72,860) Thunderrock Innovations
Bunker Defense older $24.99 43 83% 1.3k $32k (exactly $32,237) Goodvole
Stellarcraft $9.99 76 88% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) DreamStudios, Sandstorm in a Bottle
Cats go! : Tactical Defense Braw $4.99 39 97% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) Minimum Studio Corp.
TransmuTowers $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Edenic Era LLC
TANK ZERO $5.99 5 100% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Emergency Exit
The B.L.O.O.M Initiative $2.99 7 100% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Trema-Coding
Portal Guardians · EA $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Dual Quest Studios
Die, Pablo! - A tower defense adventure $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Mike Karman
Sigma Protocol $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) NextGen Solutions LLC
Godcall Defense Line $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) SEN

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.