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Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Third-Person Shooter?
Co-op Campaign + Third-Person Shooter
Only 8 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Gears of War: Reloaded, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×9.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $16k against a market of $1.5k. 27 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $238 (exactly $238) |
|---|---|
| Median | $16k (exactly $15,584) |
| Top 25% | $52k (exactly $52,462) |
| Top 5% | $4.7M (exactly $4,738,815) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 34 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Co-op Campaign
- effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Co-op Campaign, Third-Person Shooter
- Price point
- $11.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 186,091 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + ZombiesPoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + HorrorPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + Sci-fiPoor odds
- + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + PlatformerPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Resident Evil 6 | older | $19.99 | 51,420 77% | 1.5M | $31M (exactly $30,836,574) | Capcom |
| | Resident Evil 5 | older | $19.99 | 48,521 87% | 1.5M | $29M (exactly $29,098,044) | Capcom |
| | Aliens: Fireteam Elite | older | $29.99 | 21,668 80% | 650k | $19M (exactly $19,494,700) | Cold Iron Studios |
| | Gears 5 | older | $29.99 | 21,210 72% | 636k | $19M (exactly $19,082,637) | The Coalition |
| | Strange Brigade | older | $49.99 | 8,309 84% | 249k | $12M (exactly $12,461,007) | Rebellion |
| | Orcs Must Die! 3 | older | $29.99 | 10,930 85% | 328k | $9.8M (exactly $9,833,721) | Robot Entertainment |
| | Gears of War: Reloaded | $39.99 | 3,950 61% | 119k | $4.7M (exactly $4,738,815) | The Coalition | |
| | Saints Row 2 | older | $9.99 | 12,848 75% | 385k | $3.9M (exactly $3,850,546) | Volition |
| | Sniper Elite V2 Remastered | older | $34.99 | 3,437 78% | 103k | $3.6M (exactly $3,607,819) | Rebellion |
| | HYPERCHARGE: Unboxed | older | $24.99 | 3,798 90% | 114k | $2.8M (exactly $2,847,361) | Digital Cybercherries |
| | Dawn of Anarchy | $13.99 | 125 84% | 3.8k | $52k (exactly $52,462) | Quacky Games | |
| | Lurking Danger | $11.99 | 49 65% | 1.5k | $18k (exactly $17,625) | Farelas | |
| | Tactical Warfare | $9.99 | 52 67% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $15,584) | Mizrab | |
| | Pixel Troopers | · EA | $4.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Liberator Studios |
| | Sync Together | $0.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $238 (exactly $238) | DarkRook Interactive | |
| | Ranger Force | $19.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | J Studios Gaming LLC | |
| | Toad Turf | · EA | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Gatos Malos LLC |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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