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Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Sandbox?
Co-op Campaign + Sandbox
Only 15 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Sandbox in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Abiotic Factor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $6.2k, ×4.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $44M, ×29483 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 30 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $719 (exactly $719) |
|---|---|
| Median | $6.2k (exactly $6,235) |
| Top 25% | $355k (exactly $354,608) |
| Top 5% | $44M (exactly $44,166,128) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 30 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Co-op Campaign
- effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
- Sandbox
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Co-op Campaign, Sandbox; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Base Building, Exploration, Immersive Sim
- Price point
- $14.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Funny
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 76,947 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 4 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + ZombiesPoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + HorrorPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + Sci-fiPoor odds
- + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + PlatformerPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
Teardown 2022 · $114M 
Abiotic Factor 2025 · $44M 
Trailmakers 2019 · $25M 
The Riftbreaker 2021 · $20M 
Big Walk 2026 · $19M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Teardown | older | $29.99 | 126,563 95% | 3.8M | $114M (exactly $113,868,731) | Tuxedo Labs |
| | Abiotic Factor | $34.99 | 42,075 95% | 1.3M | $44M (exactly $44,166,128) | Deep Field Games | |
| | Trailmakers | older | $24.99 | 33,465 92% | 1.0M | $25M (exactly $25,088,710) | Flashbulb |
| | The Riftbreaker | older | $29.99 | 22,127 90% | 664k | $20M (exactly $19,907,662) | EXOR Studios |
| | Big Walk | $19.99 | 32,470 95% | 974k | $19M (exactly $19,472,259) | House House | |
 | From the Depths | older | $24.99 | 11,059 89% | 332k | $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) | Brilliant Skies Ltd. |
 | RUNNING WITH RIFLES | older | $14.99 | 14,676 87% | 440k | $6.6M (exactly $6,599,797) | Osumia Games |
 | Drug Dealer Simulator 2 | older | $24.99 | 5,480 69% | 164k | $4.1M (exactly $4,108,356) | Byterunners |
 | Saints Row 2 | older | $9.99 | 12,848 75% | 385k | $3.9M (exactly $3,850,546) | Volition |
 | DESOLATE | older | $14.99 | 6,228 68% | 187k | $2.8M (exactly $2,800,732) | Nearga |
 | ERA ONE | · EA | $29.99 | 1,575 86% | 47k | $1.4M (exactly $1,417,028) | Team Complex LTD |
 | It's Only Money | $24.99 | 473 78% | 14k | $355k (exactly $354,608) | Usual Suspects Studios | |
 | My Supermarket | $14.99 | 248 87% | 7.4k | $112k (exactly $111,526) | NeroForge | |
 | Neolithic Dawn | $19.99 | 30 60% | 900 | $18k (exactly $17,991) | Neolithic LLC | |
 | Lugal: Bronze Age Survival Game | · EA | $14.99 | 35 71% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $15,740) | Tea & Cake Games |
 | Caravan Village: Farming Life | · EA | $12.99 | 16 62% | 480 | $6.2k (exactly $6,235) | Corvantia Interactive |
 | Brawl Squad X: Battle Arena | $13.99 | 11 81% | 330 | $4.6k (exactly $4,617) | Army Troop Studios | |
 | DEEPLY | · EA | $2.99 | 14 35% | 420 | $1.3k (exactly $1,256) | TWEN |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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