Do I ship it?

Games › Co-op Campaign › Co-op Campaign + RTS

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign RTS?

Co-op Campaign + RTS

Only 11 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ERA ONE, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $16k against a market of $1.5k. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 10.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 19 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + RTS
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $91k → $81k → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + RTS: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $5.8k (exactly $5,838)
Median $16k (exactly $15,584)
Top 25% $185k (exactly $185,338)
Top 5% $1.4M (exactly $1,417,028)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 37
Announced 19
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, RTS
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 2,489 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $5.9k, median $16k, 1 in 4 over $180k, 1 in 20 over $1.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $5.9k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Riftbreaker 2021 · $20M Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II - Anniversary Edition (Classic) 2009 · $12M Dungeons 3 2017 · $11M From the Depths 2020 · $8.3M Battlefleet Gothic: Armada 2 2019 · $5.8M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Riftbreaker older $29.99 22,127 90% 664k $20M (exactly $19,907,662) EXOR Studios
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II - Anniversary Edition (Classic) older $49.99 8,084 85% 243k $12M (exactly $12,123,575) Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive… (Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive (Mac/Linux))
Dungeons 3 older $29.99 12,648 93% 379k $11M (exactly $11,379,406) Realmforge Studios
From the Depths older $24.99 11,059 89% 332k $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) Brilliant Skies Ltd.
Battlefleet Gothic: Armada 2 older $19.99 9,701 74% 291k $5.8M (exactly $5,817,690) Tindalos Interactive
Minecraft Legends older $39.99 2,621 59% 79k $3.1M (exactly $3,144,414) Mojang Studios, Blackbird Interactive
Command & Conquer™ Red Alert™ 3 older $6.96 14,605 85% 438k $3.0M (exactly $3,049,524) EA Los Angeles
War Mongrels older $44.99 1,826 72% 55k $2.5M (exactly $2,464,552) Destructive Creations
ERA ONE · EA $29.99 1,575 86% 47k $1.4M (exactly $1,417,028) Team Complex LTD
Godsworn · EA older $29.99 805 93% 24k $724k (exactly $724,258) Thunderoak Interactive
63 Days $29.99 413 72% 12k $372k (exactly $371,576) Destructive Creations
Industrial Annihilation · EA $29.99 206 27% 6.2k $185k (exactly $185,338) Galactic Annihilation
Chip ‘n Clawz vs. The Brainioids $29.99 90 83% 2.7k $81k (exactly $80,973) Snapshot Games Inc.
Stellarcraft $9.99 76 88% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) DreamStudios, Sandstorm in a Bottle
Tactical Warfare $9.99 52 67% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,584) Mizrab
IAH: INTERNET WAR $19.99 23 26% 690 $14k (exactly $13,793) Vitali Kirpu Productions
Cats go! : Tactical Defense Braw $4.99 39 97% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) Minimum Studio Corp.
TransmuTowers $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Edenic Era LLC
Sigma Protocol $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) NextGen Solutions LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.