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Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Roguelike?
Co-op Campaign + Roguelike
Only 17 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Roguelike in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Forsworn, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.3k, ×2.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $89k, ×60 the market median. Revenue is up 725% on the market; 45 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $959 (exactly $959) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) |
| Top 25% | $14k (exactly $13,793) |
| Top 5% | $90k (exactly $89,704) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 49 |
| Announced | 45 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 725% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Co-op Campaign
- effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
- Roguelike
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Co-op Campaign, Roguelike; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Online Co-Op, Roguelite
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Isometric, Top-Down
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 950 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $960. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + ZombiesPoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + HorrorPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + Sci-fiPoor odds
- + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + PlatformerPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Barony | older | $19.99 | 12,714 90% | 381k | $7.6M (exactly $7,624,586) | Turning Wheel LLC |
| | HELLCARD | older | $24.99 | 3,368 86% | 101k | $2.5M (exactly $2,524,990) | Thing Trunk |
| | Beyond Contact | older | $19.99 | 999 71% | 30k | $599k (exactly $599,100) | Playcorp Studios |
| | This Means Warp | older | $19.99 | 438 71% | 13k | $263k (exactly $262,669) | Outlier |
| | NeuroVoider | older | $13.99 | 492 77% | 15k | $206k (exactly $206,492) | Flying Oak Games |
| | Forsworn | $15.99 | 187 90% | 5.6k | $90k (exactly $89,704) | Resummon Studios LLC | |
| | Keep Keepers | $17.99 | 135 87% | 4.1k | $73k (exactly $72,860) | Thunderrock Innovations | |
| | The Black Pool | older | $19.99 | 111 82% | 3.3k | $67k (exactly $66,567) | Smug Marmot Studios |
| | Freaky Awesome | older | $9.99 | 205 55% | 6.2k | $61k (exactly $61,438) | Mandragora |
| | Broventure: The Wild Co-op | $4.99 | 398 72% | 12k | $60k (exactly $59,581) | Alice Games | |
| | Unnamed Pogo Game | $6.99 | 127 85% | 3.8k | $27k (exactly $26,632) | Unnamed Games | |
| | IAH: INTERNET WAR | $19.99 | 23 26% | 690 | $14k (exactly $13,793) | Vitali Kirpu Productions | |
| | Duo Quest | $14.99 | 26 65% | 780 | $12k (exactly $11,692) | 1+1 Studios | |
| | BARD'S FAULT | $9.99 | 21 80% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) | Sunabi Studios | |
| | Airlock Arena: Profit or Perish | $11.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $4.3k (exactly $4,316) | Mason Norvell, John Norvell | |
| | Invasion Protocol | $9.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | GoldenGod Games | |
| | Darkest Descent | · EA | $4.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) | camphii_ |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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