Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Racing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Racing game?

Co-op Campaign + Racing

Only 11 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sonic Racing: CrossWorlds, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.9 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $24M, ×16090 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 18 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 18 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Racing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $21k → $3.6k → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Racing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,349)
Top 25% $41k (exactly $40,776)
Top 5% $24M (exactly $24,102,456)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 25
Announced 18
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, Racing
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 92% positive over 12,095 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $40k, 1 in 20 over $24M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 18 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Trailmakers older $24.99 33,465 92% 1.0M $25M (exactly $25,088,710) Flashbulb
Sonic Racing: CrossWorlds $69.99 11,479 93% 344k $24M (exactly $24,102,456) Sonic Team
WheelMates $19.99 496 75% 15k $297k (exactly $297,451) Firevolt
Star Drift Evolution older $14.99 213 94% 6.4k $96k (exactly $95,786) Catze
Hello Engineer: Scrap Machines Constructor older $14.99 161 62% 4.8k $72k (exactly $72,402) tinyBuild Riga, tinyBuild
Warp Drive older $24.99 56 57% 1.7k $42k (exactly $41,983) Supergonk
Tipston Salvage $16.99 80 97% 2.4k $41k (exactly $40,776) Pontus Karlsson
Tinker Racers older $4.99 194 84% 5.8k $29k (exactly $29,042) Rumbora Party Games
Mechanic Heroes older $13.99 49 95% 1.5k $21k (exactly $20,565) Late Game Studios
Supermarket Shriek older $19.99 19 89% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Billy Goat Entertainment Ltd
F2D - Steer To Persevere $9.99 16 100% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Zyg Studios
Rolling Ball: HD Remaster $59.99 2 50% 60 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) SUNYU Games
Death Metal Derby $14.99 3 100% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Turtle Duck Studio
CheeseMoney $2.99 13 23% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Liang ZhiYa, Global People Holdings Gro… (Liang ZhiYa, Global People Holdings Group LLC, Song-Ya Network Systems (Guangzhou) Co Ltd)
Anarchy Road $5.99 6 50% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Bunker Brothers LLC
The Illuminati Simulator $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ricardo Alonso Pina
Sparrow Country · EA $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Binary Gauss Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.