Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Procedural Generation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Procedural Generation game?

Co-op Campaign + Procedural Generation

Only 13 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Blood Typers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×7.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300. 44 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.3 per shipper, while revenue is down 80% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 44 announced, ×7.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Procedural Generation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.8k → $4.3k → $898 → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Procedural Generation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,692)
Top 5% $342k (exactly $341,726)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 43
Announced 44
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, Procedural Generation; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Combat, Online Co-Op
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,398 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $900, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Riftbreaker older $29.99 22,127 90% 664k $20M (exactly $19,907,662) EXOR Studios
Labyrinthine older $9.99 13,779 84% 413k $4.1M (exactly $4,129,566) Valko Game Studios
Red Solstice 2: Survivors older $14.99 2,585 70% 78k $1.2M (exactly $1,162,474) Ironward
Blood Typers $12.49 912 94% 27k $342k (exactly $341,726) Outer Brain Studios
The Black Pool older $19.99 111 82% 3.3k $67k (exactly $66,567) Smug Marmot Studios
Freaky Awesome older $9.99 205 55% 6.2k $61k (exactly $61,438) Mandragora
Broventure: The Wild Co-op $4.99 398 72% 12k $60k (exactly $59,581) Alice Games
Trackline Express older $14.99 124 84% 3.7k $56k (exactly $55,763) Bubblebird Studio
Bunker Defense older $24.99 43 83% 1.3k $32k (exactly $32,237) Goodvole
DIG - Deep In Galaxies older $9.99 107 94% 3.2k $32k (exactly $32,068) Molton Studio
Hyperspaced $16.99 27 92% 810 $14k (exactly $13,762) Rarebyte
Duo Quest $14.99 26 65% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) 1+1 Studios
Airlock Arena: Profit or Perish $11.99 12 91% 360 $4.3k (exactly $4,316) Mason Norvell, John Norvell
Star Gun $11.99 6 83% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Transfinity Games
Cloak And Coin · EA $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) netDOT
The B.L.O.O.M Initiative $2.99 7 100% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Trema-Coding
Dig Baby Dig Company · EA $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) SoMeh Studio
Questwood $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Lyrical Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.