Do I ship it?

Games › Co-op Campaign › Co-op Campaign + Post-apocalyptic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Co-op Campaign game?

Co-op Campaign + Post-apocalyptic

Only 11 developers shipped a Post-apocalyptic Co-op Campaign game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dying Light: The Beast, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×3.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $100M, ×71265 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 29 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Post-apocalyptic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $10k → $26k → $40k
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Post-apocalyptic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $3.1k (exactly $3,144)
Median $5.1k (exactly $5,090)
Top 25% $373k (exactly $372,734)
Top 5% $107M (exactly $106,754,605)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 27
Announced 29
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Post-apocalyptic
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 65,462 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.2k, median $5.1k, 1 in 4 over $370k, 1 in 20 over $100M.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.2k. 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Dying Light: The Beast 2025 · $107M Gears of War: Reloaded 2025 · $4.7M Arizona Sunshine® VR Legacy 2016 · $3.4M Blazing Chrome 2019 · $676k Paranoia Place: Escape Together 2025 · $373k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dying Light: The Beast $59.99 59,318 87% 1.8M $107M (exactly $106,754,605) Techland
Gears of War: Reloaded $39.99 3,950 61% 119k $4.7M (exactly $4,738,815) The Coalition
Arizona Sunshine® VR Legacy older $14.99 7,469 80% 224k $3.4M (exactly $3,358,809) Vertigo Games, Jaywalkers Interactive
Blazing Chrome older $16.99 1,326 89% 40k $676k (exactly $675,862) JoyMasher
Paranoia Place: Escape Together $7.99 1,555 87% 47k $373k (exactly $372,734) Bloody Pixel Games
Zero Caliber 2 Remastered $24.99 433 79% 13k $325k (exactly $324,620) XREAL Games
Zombie Builder Defense 2 older $9.99 210 84% 6.3k $63k (exactly $62,937) Noham Games
Containment Initiative 2 $14.99 89 85% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Gwyn Games LLC
ZIC – Zombies in City older $4.99 179 91% 5.4k $27k (exactly $26,796) Megame LLC
Project Terminus VR older $19.99 43 67% 1.3k $26k (exactly $25,787) CVR
Infect Cam $4.99 34 58% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) Ravenholm Interactive
Last Light: Survival · EA $9.99 11 18% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) BudGamesCorp
TOJIBO $4.99 21 90% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Vermeil Soft
Chornobyl Breakout $0.99 45 71% 1.4k $1.3k (exactly $1,336) Dark Duck Games
Anarchy Road $5.99 6 50% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Bunker Brothers LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.