Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Party-Based RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Party-Based RPG?

Co-op Campaign + Party-Based RPG

Only 13 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Diablo II: Resurrected – Infernal Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×2.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $700; 1 in 20 cleared $7.0M, ×4689 the market median. Revenue is up 4375% on the market; 21 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 4375% on the market, 21 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Party-Based RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.5k → $3.5M (still earning) → $90k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Party-Based RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $693 (exactly $693)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,598)
Top 25% $240k (exactly $240,220)
Top 5% $7.0M (exactly $7,024,244)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 27
Announced 21
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4375% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, Party-Based RPG
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 10,719 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $700, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $240k, 1 in 20 over $7.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $700. 21 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition older $44.99 180,782 95% 5.4M $244M (exactly $244,001,465) Larian Studios
Solasta: Crown of the Magister older $29.99 19,680 87% 590k $18M (exactly $17,706,096) Tactical Adventures
Gloomhaven older $34.99 13,628 82% 409k $14M (exactly $14,305,312) Flaming Fowl Studios, Saber Interactive
Diablo II: Resurrected – Infernal Edition $39.99 5,855 86% 176k $7.0M (exactly $7,024,244) Blizzard Entertainment, Inc.
Solasta II · EA $39.99 2,931 75% 88k $3.5M (exactly $3,516,321) Tactical Adventures
Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked $29.99 1,235 82% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) Resolution Games
Expeditions: Samurai · EA $29.99 267 59% 8.0k $240k (exactly $240,220) Campfire Cabal
Worlds of Aria $14.99 220 90% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Ludogram
Forsworn $15.99 187 90% 5.6k $90k (exactly $89,704) Resummon Studios LLC
Conclave older $9.99 71 73% 2.1k $21k (exactly $21,279) 10x10 Room
Radiant: Guardians of Light $14.99 8 75% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) CHORRUS GAMES
Sentinel Agency · EA $19.99 3 33% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Phantomedia
Darkest Descent · EA $4.99 10 70% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) camphii_
Cook Saga · EA $7.70 3 66% 90 $693 (exactly $693) Nasus Solution

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.