Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Co-op Campaign game?

Co-op Campaign + Military

Only 11 developers shipped a Military Co-op Campaign game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tank Squad, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.8k, ×3.9 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $500k, ×339 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 29 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 29 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $175k → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,336)
Median $5.8k (exactly $5,846)
Top 25% $325k (exactly $324,620)
Top 5% $508k (exactly $507,946)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 31
Announced 29
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $13.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign
Price point
$13.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 2,271 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $5.8k, 1 in 4 over $320k, 1 in 20 over $500k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 5 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield 3™ older $39.99 16,378 71% 491k $20M (exactly $19,648,687) DICE
Jagged Alliance 3 older $44.99 10,882 89% 326k $15M (exactly $14,687,435) Haemimont Games
From the Depths older $24.99 11,059 89% 332k $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) Brilliant Skies Ltd.
SCP: 5K · EA older $19.99 12,334 80% 370k $7.4M (exactly $7,396,700) Affray Interactive
RUNNING WITH RIFLES older $14.99 14,676 87% 440k $6.6M (exactly $6,599,797) Osumia Games
Sniper Elite V2 Remastered older $34.99 3,437 78% 103k $3.6M (exactly $3,607,819) Rebellion
Zero Caliber VR older $24.99 3,771 78% 113k $2.8M (exactly $2,827,119) XREAL Games
War Mongrels older $44.99 1,826 72% 55k $2.5M (exactly $2,464,552) Destructive Creations
Tank Squad $19.99 847 70% 25k $508k (exactly $507,946) DeGenerals S.A.
63 Days $29.99 413 72% 12k $372k (exactly $371,576) Destructive Creations
Zero Caliber 2 Remastered $24.99 433 79% 13k $325k (exactly $324,620) XREAL Games
Phantom Squad $13.99 416 80% 12k $175k (exactly $174,595) Ctrl Freak
Containment Initiative 2 $14.99 89 85% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Gwyn Games LLC
Rising Sun - Iron Aces $14.99 13 76% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Moebius One Games
Brawl Squad X: Battle Arena $13.99 11 81% 330 $4.6k (exactly $4,617) Army Troop Studios
Chornobyl Breakout $0.99 45 71% 1.4k $1.3k (exactly $1,336) Dark Duck Games
Wobble Ops! $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Montee Games
Tank Brigade $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Dual B Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.