Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Co-op Campaign game?

Co-op Campaign + Medieval

Of 21 developers who shipped a Medieval Co-op Campaign game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×3.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $98k, ×66 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 35 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 35 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $110k → $22k → $898 → $10k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $4.8k (exactly $4,823)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $24,284)
Top 5% $99k (exactly $98,934)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 47
Announced 35
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Online Co-Op, Action-Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 3,130 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $4.8k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $98k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hammerwatch II older $24.99 1,871 60% 56k $1.4M (exactly $1,402,689) Crackshell
Godsworn · EA older $29.99 805 93% 24k $724k (exactly $724,258) Thunderoak Interactive
LIZARDS MUST DIE 2 $9.99 2,232 94% 67k $669k (exactly $668,930) the Bratans, Smola Game Studio
9th Dawn III older $15.99 501 87% 15k $240k (exactly $240,330) Valorware
Pampas & Selene: The Maze of Demons older $9.99 366 90% 11k $110k (exactly $109,690) @unepic_fran
Worlds of Aria $14.99 220 90% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Ludogram
Baladins older $24.99 121 81% 3.6k $91k (exactly $90,714) Seed by Seed
Forsworn $15.99 187 90% 5.6k $90k (exactly $89,704) Resummon Studios LLC
Griefhelm older $9.99 267 75% 8.0k $80k (exactly $80,020) Johnny Dale Lonack
Devil of the Plague · EA $9.99 186 78% 5.6k $56k (exactly $55,744) SoulByte Games
Saint Slayer: Spear of Sacrilege $9.99 109 94% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,667) Lillymo Games
Wizzerd Quest 2 $14.99 54 74% 1.6k $24k (exactly $24,284) Kondoorsoft
Potion Shop Simulator $12.99 57 77% 1.7k $22k (exactly $22,213) Pebbles Games, Bird Pals SIA
Hatters · EA $9.99 35 85% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Moon
Sheep Seeker $9.99 22 100% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KI… (Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KIRK, Séverin RICHARD, Matthieu FARROW, François HANUS, Quentin EUNG, Mattéo GLAIRON-MONDET, Lucas RENARD, Céline TRUONG)
2 Bows 1 Arrow $6.99 28 100% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) SKL Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.