Do I ship it?

Games › Co-op Campaign › Co-op Campaign + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Co-op Campaign game?

Co-op Campaign + Magic

Only 17 developers shipped a Magic Co-op Campaign game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Secret Agent Wizard Boy and the International Crime Syndicate, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×1.9 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $840; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×186 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 51 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 51 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.7k → $110k → $77k → $898 → $839 (still earning) → $2.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $839 (exactly $839)
Median $2.9k (exactly $2,876)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,490)
Top 5% $279k (exactly $279,021)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 56
Announced 51
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Co-op, Puzzle
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Comedy, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 1,516 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $840, median $2.9k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $840. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Trine 4: The Nightmare Prince 2019 · $11M Trine 2: Complete Story 2013 · $9.2M Trine Enchanted Edition 2009 · $5.8M Trine 3: The Artifacts of Power 2015 · $4.8M Aragami 2 2021 · $3.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Trine 4: The Nightmare Prince older $29.99 11,712 88% 351k $11M (exactly $10,537,286) Frozenbyte
Trine 2: Complete Story older $19.99 15,273 95% 458k $9.2M (exactly $9,159,218) Frozenbyte
Trine Enchanted Edition older $14.99 12,843 95% 385k $5.8M (exactly $5,775,497) Frozenbyte
Trine 3: The Artifacts of Power older $21.99 7,301 63% 219k $4.8M (exactly $4,816,470) Frozenbyte
Aragami 2 older $34.99 3,472 76% 104k $3.6M (exactly $3,644,558) Lince Works
The Incredible Adventures of Van Helsing: Final Cut older $44.99 1,959 76% 59k $2.6M (exactly $2,644,062) NeocoreGames
Nine Parchments older $19.99 4,123 77% 124k $2.5M (exactly $2,472,563) Frozenbyte
Kitaria Fables older $19.99 1,253 73% 38k $751k (exactly $751,424) Twin Hearts, Secret Level Studios
Godsworn · EA older $29.99 805 93% 24k $724k (exactly $724,258) Thunderoak Interactive
Secret Agent Wizard Boy and the International Crime Syndicate · EA $9.99 931 96% 28k $279k (exactly $279,021) John Szymanski, Evan Szymanski
Worlds of Aria $14.99 220 90% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Ludogram
Tracery of Fate $19.99 129 73% 3.9k $77k (exactly $77,361) Sign Narva
Inkwellers $9.99 136 88% 4.1k $41k (exactly $40,759) ScrumptiousSprouts sp. z o.o.
Hatters · EA $9.99 35 85% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Moon
Dark Pact $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Crimson Gaze
HEARTDUST · EA $6.99 17 94% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Heartbyte Studios
Staged $7.99 14 100% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) Project Sunset
Cryptr $7.99 12 75% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) instructions unclear
AVTale $4.99 10 60% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) OnePersonDevelopment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.